← Smart money
0x51ba…3ca5
ProfitableEdge
+11.4pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
68% @ 56.4¢
Brier
0.234
Resolved
236
Avg size
$431
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 64% (65/101) | +30% | 101 |
| Politics | 33% (5/15) | -32% | 15 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -14% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +20% | 2 |
- Other101 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (65/101)
- ROI
- +30%
- Politics15 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (5/15)
- ROI
- -32%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -14%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +20%
Track record
60% hit · 72/120- Yes$300 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 35.0¢
- Gen.G$103 @ 37.2¢
- Over$100 @ 49.0¢
- JD Gaming$100 @ 55.0¢
- Liquid$100 @ 57.0¢
- Under$860 @ 49.0¢
- Evil Geniuses$101 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$130 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 55.4¢
- Under$122 @ 63.0¢
- UNO MILLE$103 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$425 @ 72.0¢
- Leviatán Esports$100 @ 62.6¢
- Fnatic$300 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 81.4¢
- BNK FearX Youth$204 @ 56.0¢
- Team Vitality$203 @ 71.1¢
- Yes$247 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$200 @ 59.0¢
- Under$700 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$413 @ 58.1¢
- No$508 @ 77.6¢
- No$102 @ 45.1¢
- BetBoom Team$204 @ 57.0¢
- Under$200 @ 55.0¢
- Under$105 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$700 @ 64.5¢
- T1 Academy$43 @ 74.6¢
- G2 Esports$100 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$711 @ 89.0¢
- No$3.9k @ 84.2¢
- Yes$204 @ 46.6¢
- Yes$136 @ 78.0¢
- Under$588 @ 54.0¢
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?WonYes$73 @ 75.8¢
- No$509 @ 55.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 10.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 64.8¢
- Yes$140 @ 15.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 77.4¢
- Yes$6.6k @ 38.7¢
- No$10.0k @ 69.5¢
- Under$200 @ 67.3¢
- Gentle Mates$200 @ 61.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 60.4¢
- Yes$933 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$511 @ 89.7¢
- Brentford FC$202 @ 73.0¢
- Yu-ih$1.8k @ 57.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Politics | No | $100 | 72.6¢ |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | Politics | No | $100 | 74.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 10.8¢ |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 20.0¢ |
| Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? | Politics | No | $10 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Wei Ping-cheng win the next Changhua County Magistrate election? | Politics | No | $10 | 81.0¢ |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Politics | No | $10 | 76.8¢ |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 26.0¢ |
| Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 93.0¢ |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 92.0¢ |
| Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 91.8¢ |
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$100 @ 72.6¢
- No$100 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
- No$10 @ 87.0¢
- No$10 @ 81.0¢
- No$10 @ 76.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 91.8¢