← Smart money
0x51b2…10ce
SharpROI
+253%
Win rate
23%
Brier
0.186
Resolved
225
Avg size
$46
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
0% hit · 0/1| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | $10 | 1.1¢ | Lost |
- Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $200 | 5.4¢ |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $100 | 16.2¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Geopolitics | Yes | $20 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $20 | 2.4¢ |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 2.1¢ |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $20 | 1.9¢ |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12? | Politics | Yes | $20 | 1.3¢ |
- Yes$200 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.3¢