← Smart money
0x51b2…10ce
SharpEdge
+11.8pp
ROI
+250%
Win rate
23% @ 10.7¢
Brier
0.182
Resolved
240
Avg size
$44
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (12/40) | +448% | 40 |
| Politics | 10% (3/31) | -83% | 31 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Sports | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
- Other40 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (12/40)
- ROI
- +448%
- Politics31 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (3/31)
- ROI
- -83%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
19% hit · 15/80- Yes$50 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 4.4¢
- No$10 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
- No$44 @ 19.3¢
- Yes$50 @ 33.4¢
- Yes$120 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$195 @ 21.8¢
- Yes$200 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$700 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$521 @ 12.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 4.0¢
- No$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$300 @ 55.2¢
- Yes$200 @ 15.9¢
- Warriors$20 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$560 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
- No$20 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$360 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.8¢
- No$50 @ 22.4¢
- Yes$70 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 4.7¢
- No$20 @ 7.3¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 7.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$190 @ 4.3¢
- No$10 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$370 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.3¢
- Yes$687 @ 6.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | — | No | $60 | 7.4¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | — | No | $50 | 12.0¢ |
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $20 | 2.4¢ |
- No$60 @ 7.4¢
- No$50 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.4¢