← Smart money
0x5188…c804
SharpEdge
+7.0pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
46% @ 38.9¢
Brier
0.129
Resolved
307
Avg size
$720
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 78% (7/9) | +11% | 9 |
| Tech | 17% (1/6) | -72% | 6 |
| Crypto | 50% (2/4) | +22% | 4 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -24% | 2 |
| Other | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +11%
- Tech6 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- -72%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +22%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -24%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 11/22- Yes$65.4k @ 10.8¢
- No$36.0k @ 51.1¢
- Yes$16.8k @ 51.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$10.9k @ 32.3¢
- No$6 @ 62.2¢
- No$963 @ 80.0¢
- No$10.8k @ 22.6¢
- No$5.0k @ 27.7¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 44.1¢
- Yes$36.7k @ 78.9¢
- No$29.9k @ 78.1¢
- Yes$345 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$50 @ 86.0¢
- No$165 @ 5.3¢
- No$19.2k @ 27.2¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 88.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 33.9¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 8.2¢
- No$13.5k @ 12.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Politics | No | $1.4k | 80.5¢ |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | Politics | No | $467 | 54.9¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $364 | 6.5¢ |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Politics | No | $326 | 24.0¢ |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | No | $224 | 89.6¢ |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | No | $193 | 96.2¢ |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | Politics | No | $91 | 70.6¢ |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? | Sports | No | $87 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | Politics | No | $38 | 70.8¢ |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $25 | 2.5¢ |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 31.0¢ |
| Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31? | Sports | Yes | $5 | 40.0¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $1 | 91.5¢ |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 10.5¢ |
- No$1.4k @ 80.5¢
- No$467 @ 54.9¢
- No$364 @ 6.5¢
- No$326 @ 24.0¢
- No$224 @ 89.6¢
- No$193 @ 96.2¢
- No$91 @ 70.6¢
- No$87 @ 87.0¢
- No$38 @ 70.8¢
- Yes$25 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$1 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.5¢