0x5123…2f31

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x512343f9772ad169e4b1136a408f543095292f31
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.9pp

ROI

+104%

Win rate

14% @ 10.2¢

Brier

0.115

Resolved

2667

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	13% (14/105)	+115%	105
Other	8% (6/75)	-96%	75
Politics	14% (1/7)	-90%	7
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Science	100% (1/1)	+150%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+398%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports105 bets
Hit rate
13% (14/105)
ROI
+115%
Other75 bets
Hit rate
8% (6/75)
ROI
-96%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
-90%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+150%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+398%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

12% hit · 23/194

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	No	$43	28.3¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$213	5.3¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev	Valentin Royer	$446	3.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$241	6.3¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?	Yes	$35	2.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?	No	$13	22.0¢	Lost
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	$0	18.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Patrick Kypson	Patrick Kypson	$300	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Haiti?	Yes	$10	3.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$36	9.9¢	Lost
Over $75M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Qatar?	Yes	$25	0.8¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	$2	15.0¢	Lost
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	$203	14.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	$30	4.1¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?	No	$15	14.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$4	3.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?	Yes	$38	15.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	$96	10.0¢	Won
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$5	2.7¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	No	$962	10.3¢	Lost
Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?	No	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	$5	2.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$96	16.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	$32	1.6¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	No	$4	20.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	$17	10.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	$1	4.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$5	21.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	$14	0.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	$20	4.2¢	Lost
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?	Yes	$6	28.0¢	Won
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	$25	33.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	Yes	$3	2.6¢	Lost
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane	Terence Atmane	$210	14.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	$43	3.6¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$8	31.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Qatar?	Yes	$45	2.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?	Yes	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	$3	1.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Haiti?	Yes	$17	1.1¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$14	28.4¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "History" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay?	Yes	$100	10.0¢	Lost

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?Lost
No$43 @ 28.3¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$213 @ 5.3¢
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander ZverevLost
Valentin Royer$446 @ 3.5¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Lost
Yes$241 @ 6.3¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$2 @ 19.0¢
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$35 @ 2.1¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?Lost
No$13 @ 22.0¢
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Lost
St. Louis Cardinals$0 @ 18.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Patrick KypsonLost
Patrick Kypson$300 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Haiti?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.6¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$36 @ 9.9¢
Over $75M committed to the Credible public sale?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will RISEx launch a token by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Qatar?Lost
Yes$25 @ 0.8¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$2 @ 15.0¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Lost
Yes$203 @ 14.5¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Lost
Yes$30 @ 4.1¢
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Lost
No$15 @ 14.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?Lost
Yes$38 @ 15.0¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Ecuador?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?Won
Yes$96 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.7¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Lost
No$962 @ 10.3¢
Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?Lost
No$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$96 @ 16.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Lost
Yes$32 @ 1.6¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?Won
No$4 @ 20.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?Lost
Yes$17 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.1¢
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$5 @ 21.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.7¢
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$20 @ 4.2¢
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 28.0¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Lost
No$25 @ 33.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Terence AtmaneLost
Terence Atmane$210 @ 14.0¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$43 @ 3.6¢
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$8 @ 31.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Qatar?Lost
Yes$45 @ 2.5¢
Exact Score: South Africa 2 - 3 Canada?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Haiti?Lost
Yes$17 @ 1.1¢
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$14 @ 28.4¢
Will the announcers say "History" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$5 @ 27.0¢
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay?Lost
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$73	8.2¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	No	$18	90.0¢
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	Yes	$5	12.6¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	Yes	$5	11.9¢
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$4	22.0¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	Yes	$1	5.0¢
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$0	11.0¢

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$73 @ 8.2¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
No$18 @ 90.0¢
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
Yes$5 @ 12.6¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
Yes$5 @ 11.9¢
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Sports
Yes$0 @ 11.0¢