← Smart money
0x50f4…5e6a
SharpEdge
+4.5pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
36% @ 31.9¢
Brier
0.166
Resolved
1727
Avg size
$12
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 31% (57/186) | +18% | 186 |
| Sports | 18% (6/33) | +97% | 33 |
| Politics | 29% (7/24) | -81% | 24 |
| Crypto | 40% (2/5) | +2% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (2/4) | -11% | 4 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | -40% | 3 |
- Other186 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (57/186)
- ROI
- +18%
- Sports33 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (6/33)
- ROI
- +97%
- Politics24 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (7/24)
- ROI
- -81%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +2%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -11%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -40%
Track record
29% hit · 75/255- Yes$6 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$79 @ 1.6¢
- Argentina$4 @ 74.7¢
- Yes$46 @ 32.8¢
- No$10 @ 28.0¢
- No$3 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$506 @ 32.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$52 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$438 @ 57.2¢
- Yes$41 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 29.8¢
- Yes$136 @ 48.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
- No$237 @ 78.2¢
- Yes$130 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$33 @ 62.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$953 @ 51.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 48.0¢
- No$177 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 20.0¢
- No$303 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 58.0¢
- No$45 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 1.1¢
- No$124 @ 45.1¢
- Yes$48 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
- No$36 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$125 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$60 @ 46.5¢
- Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- No$136 @ 67.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Politics | Yes | $2.8k | 16.9¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $1.6k | 7.7¢ |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | Politics | Yes | $477 | 52.9¢ |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $424 | 26.2¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $326 | 35.9¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $224 | 22.4¢ |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Economy | Yes | $204 | 54.9¢ |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | No | $6 | 27.7¢ |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.1¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 17.7¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 22.3¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $0 | 9.0¢ |
- Yes$2.8k @ 16.9¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 7.7¢
- Yes$477 @ 52.9¢
- Yes$424 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$326 @ 35.9¢
- Yes$224 @ 22.4¢
- Yes$204 @ 54.9¢
- No$6 @ 27.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 17.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 22.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 9.0¢