0x5085…d8a4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5085764f1e5d79b7de871cd9ba3303046305d8a4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.6pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

32% @ 27.9¢

Brier

0.164

Resolved

746

Avg size

$16

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (64/165)	+34%	165
Politics	33% (1/3)	-47%	3

Other165 bets
Hit rate
39% (64/165)
ROI
+34%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-47%

Track record

39% hit · 65/168

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$86	85.9¢	Lost
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?	Yes	$35	33.8¢	Won
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$73	14.5¢	Lost
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?	Yes	$169	37.5¢	Lost
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?	No	$97	82.8¢	Won
Phillies vs. Giants	Phillies	$77	76.5¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$55	55.0¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$55	36.7¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?	No	$66	52.4¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	Yes	$688	13.9¢	Lost
Will the National Council for the Defense of Democracy – Forces for the Defense of Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Burundian parliamentary election?	No	$7	0.4¢	Lost
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	No	$102	81.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on July 8?	Yes	$38	75.0¢	Won
Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	$40	7.1¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$191	63.8¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?	Yes	$3	16.0¢	Lost
Will the General Liberation and Development Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Śląskie?	Trzaskowski	$8	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 9?	No	$109	54.5¢	Won
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?	No	$450	6.9¢	Lost
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?	Yes	$1	2.8¢	Lost
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	$109	72.7¢	Won
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?	Yes	$32	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on July 10?	No	$95	62.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on July 10?	Yes	$6	0.3¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?	No	$75	25.1¢	Lost
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?	No	$13	57.0¢	Won
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?	Yes	$62	68.7¢	Lost
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?	Yes	$3	26.0¢	Lost
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	Yes	$25	49.0¢	Lost
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?	No	$103	8.0¢	Won
Will CDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?	Yes	$30	2.4¢	Lost
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	$70	56.0¢	Lost
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	$240	71.1¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	No	$58	23.0¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?	Yes	$1	3.3¢	Lost
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	Yes	$33	3.3¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	$120	0.5¢	Lost
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?	No	$6	85.0¢	Won
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?	Yes	$40	16.9¢	Lost
Mariners vs. Rangers	Mariners	$93	37.0¢	Won
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?	Yes	$19	27.9¢	Won
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?	No	$16	32.0¢	Lost
Trump trade deal before July?	Yes	$67	66.9¢	Won
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance)	Monterrey	$49	32.5¢	Lost
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?	Yes	$227	75.7¢	Won
Dodgers vs. Royals	Royals	$27	27.0¢	Lost
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineers	Kansas Jayhawks	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?	No	$35	1.2¢	Lost

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$86 @ 85.9¢
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Won
Yes$35 @ 33.8¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$73 @ 14.5¢
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Lost
Yes$169 @ 37.5¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?Won
No$97 @ 82.8¢
Phillies vs. GiantsLost
Phillies$77 @ 76.5¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
No$55 @ 55.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Lost
Yes$55 @ 36.7¢
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Won
No$66 @ 52.4¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Lost
Yes$688 @ 13.9¢
Will the National Council for the Defense of Democracy – Forces for the Defense of Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Burundian parliamentary election?Lost
No$7 @ 0.4¢
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Won
No$102 @ 81.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on July 8?Won
Yes$38 @ 75.0¢
Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Lost
No$40 @ 7.1¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$191 @ 63.8¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Lost
Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
Will the General Liberation and Development Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Śląskie?Won
Trzaskowski$8 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 9?Won
No$109 @ 54.5¢
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Lost
No$450 @ 6.9¢
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Won
No$109 @ 72.7¢
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Lost
Yes$32 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on July 10?Won
No$95 @ 62.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on July 10?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?Lost
No$75 @ 25.1¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?Won
No$13 @ 57.0¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?Lost
Yes$62 @ 68.7¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Lost
Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?Lost
Yes$25 @ 49.0¢
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?Won
No$103 @ 8.0¢
Will CDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.4¢
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Lost
No$70 @ 56.0¢
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Won
Yes$240 @ 71.1¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Lost
No$58 @ 23.0¢
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$33 @ 3.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Lost
No$120 @ 0.5¢
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Won
No$6 @ 85.0¢
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Lost
Yes$40 @ 16.9¢
Mariners vs. RangersWon
Mariners$93 @ 37.0¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?Won
Yes$19 @ 27.9¢
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Lost
No$16 @ 32.0¢
Trump trade deal before July?Won
Yes$67 @ 66.9¢
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) Lost
Monterrey $49 @ 32.5¢
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?Won
Yes$227 @ 75.7¢
Dodgers vs. RoyalsLost
Royals$27 @ 27.0¢
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia MountaineersLost
Kansas Jayhawks$2 @ 9.0¢
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?Lost
No$35 @ 1.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?	—	Yes	$188	16.7¢
Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?	Politics	No	$172	96.3¢
Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Politics	No	$90	90.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$86	85.9¢
Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?	Politics	Yes	$62	70.7¢
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Politics	No	$50	33.0¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?	—	Yes	$46	68.8¢
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?	—	No	$29	14.1¢
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Politics	Yes	$13	8.5¢

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?—
Yes$188 @ 16.7¢
Will Jiří Veselka be the next Mayor of Liberec?Politics
No$172 @ 96.3¢
Will Jan Dohnal be the next Mayor of Ostrava?Politics
No$90 @ 90.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$86 @ 85.9¢
Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?Politics
Yes$62 @ 70.7¢
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Politics
No$50 @ 33.0¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?—
Yes$46 @ 68.8¢
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?—
No$29 @ 14.1¢
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Politics
Yes$13 @ 8.5¢