0x5037…38f4

Specialization by sphere

• Other9 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (5/9)

  ROI

  +87%

• Politics5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +31%

• Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Won
  Yes$2.7k @ 66.7¢
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Won
  No$328 @ 54.7¢
• Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$127 @ 84.8¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
  Yes$3.0k @ 36.6¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$101 @ 9.9¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$61 @ 54.0¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$83 @ 8.0¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$66 @ 6.3¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$154 @ 3.7¢
• Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? Won
  Yes$5.0k @ 48.9¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$558 @ 56.8¢
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?Won
  No$66 @ 66.0¢
• Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
  Yes$5.0k @ 53.7¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
  Yes$2.1k @ 68.7¢