0x5028…91c5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5028d34cd2691f64255971410d595289a2a191c5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.0pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

40% @ 29.7¢

Brier

0.177

Resolved

887

Avg size

$13

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (38/104)	+24%	104
Science	44% (15/34)	+3%	34
Politics	27% (4/15)	-4%	15
Sports	55% (6/11)	+6%	11
Culture	33% (1/3)	-41%	3
Tech	50% (1/2)	-5%	2
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+51%	2

Other104 bets
Hit rate
37% (38/104)
ROI
+24%
Science34 bets
Hit rate
44% (15/34)
ROI
+3%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
27% (4/15)
ROI
-4%
Sports11 bets
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
ROI
+6%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-41%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-5%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+51%

Track record

39% hit · 66/171

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	$12	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 24?	Yes	$5	61.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 24?	No	$2	2.2¢	Lost
Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	$78	47.0¢	Won
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?	No	$0	2.4¢	Lost
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	No	$20	18.5¢	Lost
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	$195	82.0¢	Won
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$172	7.4¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	Yes	$913	66.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?	No	$13	19.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	$17	26.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	No	$99	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$100	53.0¢	Won
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Lost
1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayern Munich: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	$39	41.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	Yes	$11	3.4¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5	Over	$32	51.0¢	Won
FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5	Under	$84	50.8¢	Lost
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Over	$34	43.0¢	Lost
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	$80	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 4?	No	$11	14.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	$5	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?	Yes	$6	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	$67	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	$28	24.5¢	Lost
Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	$4	2.1¢	Lost
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Won
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	$31	5.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 20?	Yes	$5	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or below on August 30?	Yes	$36	12.0¢	Lost
Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	$3	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 23?	No	$49	41.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 19?	No	$1	1.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 19?	Yes	$14	68.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?	No	$13	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?	Yes	$7	7.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23?	No	$17	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	$15	19.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 22?	Yes	$3	7.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	No	$314	59.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	$69	16.1¢	Won
Will Uroš Medić fight Joaquin Buckley next?	No	$0	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 16?	No	$44	68.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 16?	Yes	$30	24.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?	No	$238	65.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?	Yes	$15	17.9¢	Lost
Will Comunicaciones FC win on 2026-09-18?	No	$73	37.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 23?	No	$163	82.9¢	Won

Portugal vs. Wales: Wales O/U 3.5 CornersLost
Over$12 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 24?Lost
Yes$5 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 24?Lost
No$2 @ 2.2¢
Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana SelekhmetevaWon
Oksana Selekhmeteva$78 @ 47.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Lost
No$0 @ 2.4¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Lost
No$20 @ 18.5¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Won
Yes$195 @ 82.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Lost
No$172 @ 7.4¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Won
Yes$913 @ 66.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?Lost
No$13 @ 19.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?Won
Yes$17 @ 26.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Won
No$99 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
No$100 @ 53.0¢
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayern Munich: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Under$39 @ 41.0¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.4¢
FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5Won
Over$32 @ 51.0¢
FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$84 @ 50.8¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$34 @ 43.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Won
Under$80 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 4?Won
No$11 @ 14.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 4?Lost
Yes$5 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?Won
No$67 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$28 @ 24.5¢
Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Lost
No$4 @ 2.1¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Won
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Lost
Yes$31 @ 5.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 20?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or below on August 30?Lost
Yes$36 @ 12.0¢
Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 23?Won
No$49 @ 41.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 19?Won
No$1 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 19?Lost
Yes$14 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?Won
No$13 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23?Won
No$17 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$15 @ 19.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 22?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?Lost
No$314 @ 59.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?Won
Yes$69 @ 16.1¢
Will Uroš Medić fight Joaquin Buckley next?Won
No$0 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 16?Won
No$44 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 16?Lost
Yes$30 @ 24.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?Won
No$238 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?Lost
Yes$15 @ 17.9¢
Will Comunicaciones FC win on 2026-09-18?Won
No$73 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 23?Won
No$163 @ 82.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	No	$2.4k	79.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$1.6k	57.5¢
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions	Sports	Samsung Lions	$316	47.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	No	$250	62.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Politics	No	$250	39.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Politics	No	$249	90.0¢
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Politics	No	$249	71.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	No	$248	39.8¢
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Politics	No	$222	49.5¢
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Politics	Yes	$200	68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$174	26.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Science	No	$167	38.2¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$167	36.1¢
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?	Tech	No	$154	92.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$145	14.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$131	32.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$119	43.7¢
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$118	39.3¢
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$115	28.8¢
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Culture	Yes	$100	33.4¢
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears	Sports	Doosan Bears	$90	53.0¢
Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?	Politics	No	$87	17.6¢
Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	Politics	No	$86	75.0¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	Sports	Dplus KIA Challengers	$80	84.0¢
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$79	80.0¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$78	26.0¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Culture	No	$70	26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 25?	Science	No	$66	70.5¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$65	21.6¢
Anthropic acquired before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$60	17.2¢

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
No$2.4k @ 79.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$1.6k @ 57.5¢
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung LionsSports
Samsung Lions$316 @ 47.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
No$250 @ 62.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Politics
No$250 @ 39.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?Politics
No$249 @ 90.0¢
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Politics
No$249 @ 71.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
No$248 @ 39.8¢
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Politics
No$222 @ 49.5¢
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Politics
Yes$200 @ 68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
No$174 @ 26.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?Science
No$167 @ 38.2¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$167 @ 36.1¢
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Tech
No$154 @ 92.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$145 @ 14.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$131 @ 32.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$119 @ 43.7¢
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
Yes$118 @ 39.3¢
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$115 @ 28.8¢
Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Culture
Yes$100 @ 33.4¢
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan BearsSports
Doosan Bears$90 @ 53.0¢
Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Politics
No$87 @ 17.6¢
Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Politics
No$86 @ 75.0¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CSports
Dplus KIA Challengers$80 @ 84.0¢
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Sports
No$79 @ 80.0¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$78 @ 26.0¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture
No$70 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 25?Science
No$66 @ 70.5¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Politics
Yes$65 @ 21.6¢
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Tech
Yes$60 @ 17.2¢