0x5028…91c5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5028d34cd2691f64255971410d595289a2a191c5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.5pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

39% @ 35.9¢

Brier

0.198

Resolved

3891

Avg size

$17

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	44% (127/288)	-14%	288
Other	39% (95/245)	+12%	245
Politics	34% (47/138)	-1%	138
Sports	44% (55/124)	+9%	124
Culture	35% (7/20)	-49%	20
Tech	50% (5/10)	-6%	10
Geopolitics	50% (5/10)	+10%	10
Economy	50% (4/8)	+62%	8
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+51%	2

Science288 bets
Hit rate
44% (127/288)
ROI
-14%
Other245 bets
Hit rate
39% (95/245)
ROI
+12%
Politics138 bets
Hit rate
34% (47/138)
ROI
-1%
Sports124 bets
Hit rate
44% (55/124)
ROI
+9%
Culture20 bets
Hit rate
35% (7/20)
ROI
-49%
Tech10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
-6%
Geopolitics10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
+10%
Economy8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+62%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+51%

Track record

41% hit · 346/845

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 12?	No	$33	22.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 12?	No	$24	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 12?	Yes	$4	55.4¢	Lost
Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Lorenzo Giustino	Dali Blanch	$0	42.0¢	Lost
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?	Yes	$13	41.2¢	Won
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	$8	33.0¢	Won
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?	No	$0	13.0¢	Lost
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	$0	18.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	$0	94.0¢	Won
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?	No	$0	17.6¢	Lost
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	$1	94.0¢	Won
Will New Zealand win on 2026-11-12?	No	$19	19.0¢	Lost
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	$0	24.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 3?	No	$32	90.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 8?	No	$10	9.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 8?	Yes	$169	46.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 8?	No	$93	56.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on September 4?	No	$53	54.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	$16	38.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 21?	No	$45	85.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage	INOX Division	$94	60.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group Stage	ex-Zero Tenacity	$10	39.0¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$172	7.4¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	Yes	$913	66.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	$3	1.1¢	Lost
Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?	No	$19	45.0¢	Lost
Oregon State vs. Colorado State: O/U 63.5	Over	$36	45.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	magic	$74	65.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	$11	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 21?	No	$132	48.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 21?	Yes	$4	42.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 15?	Yes	$7	23.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Renato Moicano	$41	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?	No	$13	19.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	$17	26.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	No	$99	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Team Falcons	$24	30.0¢	Lost
Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?	No	$6	32.0¢	Won
W100 Templeton, CA: Caroline Dolehide vs Julieta Pareja	Julieta Pareja	$49	45.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?	No	$19	12.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?	Yes	$39	45.0¢	Won
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	$7	44.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	No	$125	45.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	$4	11.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?	No	$31	46.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?	Yes	$6	33.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 4?	No	$100	65.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	$9	31.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 12?Lost
No$33 @ 22.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 12?Won
No$24 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 12?Lost
Yes$4 @ 55.4¢
Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Lorenzo GiustinoLost
Dali Blanch$0 @ 42.0¢
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1?Won
Yes$13 @ 41.2¢
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Won
No$8 @ 33.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?Lost
No$0 @ 13.0¢
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Lost
Yes$0 @ 18.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
No$0 @ 94.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Lost
No$0 @ 17.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-11-12?Lost
No$19 @ 19.0¢
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Lost
Yes$0 @ 24.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 3?Won
No$32 @ 90.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 8?Lost
No$10 @ 9.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 8?Won
Yes$169 @ 46.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 8?Lost
No$93 @ 56.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on September 4?Won
No$53 @ 54.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on September 4?Lost
Yes$16 @ 38.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 21?Won
No$45 @ 85.4¢
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group StageWon
INOX Division$94 @ 60.2¢
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group StageLost
ex-Zero Tenacity$10 @ 39.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Lost
No$172 @ 7.4¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Won
Yes$913 @ 66.1¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?Lost
No$3 @ 1.1¢
Will Craig Hodge win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Lost
No$19 @ 45.0¢
Oregon State vs. Colorado State: O/U 63.5Won
Over$36 @ 45.0¢
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)Lost
magic$74 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 14?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 21?Won
No$132 @ 48.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 21?Lost
Yes$4 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 15?Lost
Yes$7 @ 23.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Renato Moicano$41 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?Lost
No$13 @ 19.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 23?Won
Yes$17 @ 26.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Won
No$99 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Lost
Team Falcons$24 @ 30.0¢
Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?Won
No$6 @ 32.0¢
W100 Templeton, CA: Caroline Dolehide vs Julieta ParejaWon
Julieta Pareja$49 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?Lost
No$19 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?Won
Yes$39 @ 45.0¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?Lost
Yes$7 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?Lost
No$125 @ 45.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?Won
Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?Won
No$31 @ 46.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?Lost
Yes$6 @ 33.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 4?Won
No$100 @ 65.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 4?Lost
Yes$9 @ 31.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$1.6k	57.5¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$275	91.8¢
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$273	92.0¢
Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?	Tech	No	$234	94.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Politics	No	$194	85.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Politics	No	$169	39.9¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$167	36.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Politics	No	$148	62.8¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$145	14.5¢
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$118	39.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Politics	No	$107	90.8¢
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$94	33.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on November 12?	Science	No	$91	87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 3?	Science	No	$85	17.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Politics	No	$82	88.0¢
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	Culture	Yes	$81	34.8¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Rush (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage	—	Rush	$79	54.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Economy	Yes	$77	94.3¢
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?	Economy	No	$76	49.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 3?	Science	No	$74	34.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 12?	Science	Yes	$74	26.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Politics	No	$73	56.0¢
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$73	24.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Politics	No	$72	35.9¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$72	24.0¢
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?	Tech	Yes	$72	24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?	Science	No	$72	38.9¢
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Politics	Yes	$69	58.3¢
Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?	Sports	No	$68	67.0¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Culture	No	$67	25.0¢

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$1.6k @ 57.5¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$275 @ 91.8¢
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Politics
Yes$273 @ 92.0¢
Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?Tech
No$234 @ 94.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Politics
No$194 @ 85.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Politics
No$169 @ 39.9¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$167 @ 36.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Politics
No$148 @ 62.8¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$145 @ 14.5¢
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics
Yes$118 @ 39.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Politics
No$107 @ 90.8¢
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$94 @ 33.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on November 12?Science
No$91 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 3?Science
No$85 @ 17.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?Politics
No$82 @ 88.0¢
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Culture
Yes$81 @ 34.8¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Rush (BO3) - CCT South America Group Stage—
Rush$79 @ 54.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?Economy
Yes$77 @ 94.3¢
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?Economy
No$76 @ 49.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 3?Science
No$74 @ 34.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 12?Science
Yes$74 @ 26.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Politics
No$73 @ 56.0¢
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$73 @ 24.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?Politics
No$72 @ 35.9¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$72 @ 24.0¢
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?Tech
Yes$72 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2?Science
No$72 @ 38.9¢
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
Yes$69 @ 58.3¢
Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?Sports
No$68 @ 67.0¢
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture
No$67 @ 25.0¢