← Smart money
0x500e…79d4
SharpEdge
+11.9pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
81% @ 68.7¢
Brier
0.142
Resolved
129
Avg size
$166
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 54% (21/39) | -6% | 39 |
| Other | 80% (4/5) | +29% | 5 |
| Economy | 100% (5/5) | +36% | 5 |
| Tech | 75% (3/4) | +18% | 4 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +31% | 3 |
- Sports39 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (21/39)
- ROI
- -6%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +29%
- Economy5 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (5/5)
- ROI
- +36%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +18%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +31%
Track record
63% hit · 35/56- Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
- No$5 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$644 @ 88.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 79.2¢
- Yes$651 @ 57.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$121 @ 61.2¢
- No$1.0k @ 79.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 19.9¢
- Yes$40 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$201 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 87.9¢
- Yes$61 @ 48.1¢
- No$10 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 61.0¢
- No$101 @ 70.8¢
- Yes$895 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$8.4k @ 76.4¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 85.6¢
- Yes$85 @ 80.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
- No$50 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 77.0¢
- No$10 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 67.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $6.4k | 90.8¢ |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Economy | Yes | $1.6k | 89.4¢ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Tech | Yes | $100 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 23.3¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 15.6¢ |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Economy | Yes | $90 | 18.0¢ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $85 | 85.0¢ |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? | Politics | Yes | $40 | 40.0¢ |
- No$6.4k @ 90.8¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 89.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$90 @ 18.0¢
- No$85 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 40.0¢