0x5005…23fe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x50056e920328c27acbdc21d74cf3ffce52e723fe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.1pp

ROI

+86%

Win rate

27% @ 14.7¢

Brier

0.164

Resolved

325

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	34% (30/88)	+33%	88
Sports	57% (12/21)	+193%	21
Science	50% (7/14)	+87%	14
Economy	100% (2/2)	+139%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other88 bets
Hit rate
34% (30/88)
ROI
+33%
Sports21 bets
Hit rate
57% (12/21)
ROI
+193%
Science14 bets
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
ROI
+87%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+139%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 51/128

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 4?	Yes	$28	12.4¢	Lost
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	$11	38.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Won
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Even	$14	2.0¢	Lost
Redcar Town FC vs. Bridlington Town AFC: Redcar Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$7	12.8¢	Lost
Will Sepsi OSK win on 2026-08-29?	No	$7	13.0¢	Lost
Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?	Yes	$25	4.0¢	Lost
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	$3	58.1¢	Lost
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5	Under	$7	11.5¢	Won
Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-08-13?	Yes	$7	13.2¢	Lost
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	$7	45.0¢	Lost
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	$26	2.3¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Lost
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	Yes	$14	4.6¢	Lost
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Cameron Norrie	$5	53.0¢	Won
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	$10	39.7¢	Won
Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente end in a draw?	No	$7	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	$28	12.4¢	Won
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 4.5	Over	$1	8.7¢	Lost
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)	Houston Astros	$0	5.0¢	Won
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-05?	Yes	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?	No	$7	45.0¢	Won
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-11?	No	$7	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 23?	No	$4	45.0¢	Won
Yasin Ayari: 1+ goals	No	$0	8.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24?	No	$21	24.5¢	Won
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5	Under	$0	6.0¢	Won
Netherlands to score first vs. Greece?	No	$7	45.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$7	12.0¢	Lost
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	$14	3.5¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	No	$7	13.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?	Yes	$2	80.9¢	Won
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	$7	13.0¢	Won
Leroy Sané: 1+ shots on target	Yes	$7	13.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1?	No	$26	13.8¢	Lost
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?	Yes	$6	23.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1?	Yes	$28	12.4¢	Lost
Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	$21	4.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Eyüpspor 2 - 1 Alanyaspor?	No	$9	1.8¢	Lost
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)	New York Mets	$12	4.1¢	Lost
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half	No	$7	11.0¢	Won
Will El Qanah Club win on 2026-08-23?	No	$19	0.3¢	Lost
Amad Diallo: 1+ goals	No	$7	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22?	No	$14	36.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Supernova (+1.5)	Conviction	$7	4.8¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?	Yes	$7	13.0¢	Lost
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	$7	45.0¢	Won
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?	Under	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$10	64.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 4?Lost
Yes$28 @ 12.4¢
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?Lost
No$11 @ 38.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Won
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Lost
Even$14 @ 2.0¢
Redcar Town FC vs. Bridlington Town AFC: Redcar Town FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$7 @ 12.8¢
Will Sepsi OSK win on 2026-08-29?Lost
No$7 @ 13.0¢
Vanraure Hachinohe FC leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$25 @ 4.0¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Lost
Yes$3 @ 58.1¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Won
Under$7 @ 11.5¢
Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-08-13?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.2¢
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 45.0¢
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?Lost
Yes$26 @ 2.3¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?Lost
Yes$14 @ 4.6¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir KecmanovicWon
Cameron Norrie$5 @ 53.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Won
Yes$10 @ 39.7¢
Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente end in a draw?Lost
No$7 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 29?Won
Yes$28 @ 12.4¢
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$1 @ 8.7¢
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Won
Houston Astros$0 @ 5.0¢
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-05?Lost
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?Won
No$7 @ 45.0¢
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-11?Lost
No$7 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 23?Won
No$4 @ 45.0¢
Yasin Ayari: 1+ goalsWon
No$0 @ 8.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24?Won
No$21 @ 24.5¢
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Won
Under$0 @ 6.0¢
Netherlands to score first vs. Greece?Won
No$7 @ 45.0¢
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$7 @ 12.0¢
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Lost
Chelsea FC$14 @ 3.5¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$7 @ 13.0¢
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Won
Yes$2 @ 80.9¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 2.5Won
Under$7 @ 13.0¢
Leroy Sané: 1+ shots on targetWon
Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1?Lost
No$26 @ 13.8¢
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?Lost
Yes$6 @ 23.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1?Lost
Yes$28 @ 12.4¢
Portugal leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$21 @ 4.6¢
Exact Score: Eyüpspor 2 - 1 Alanyaspor?Lost
No$9 @ 1.8¢
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Lost
New York Mets$12 @ 4.1¢
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfWon
No$7 @ 11.0¢
Will El Qanah Club win on 2026-08-23?Lost
No$19 @ 0.3¢
Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsLost
No$7 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22?Lost
No$14 @ 36.0¢
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Supernova (+1.5)Lost
Conviction$7 @ 4.8¢
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Won
Baltimore Orioles$7 @ 45.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?Lost
Under$0 @ 4.0¢
Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$1 @ 9.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerWon
PARIVISION$10 @ 64.0¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 4?	Science	Yes	$28	12.4¢

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 4?Science
Yes$28 @ 12.4¢