0x4fd5…feb0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4fd556018cbb45346afbde0f11b4cd072f90feb0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.1pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

54% @ 44.1¢

Brier

0.215

Resolved

262

Avg size

$48

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	44% (48/108)	+10%	108
Other	44% (41/94)	+5%	94
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports108 bets
Hit rate
44% (48/108)
ROI
+10%
Other94 bets
Hit rate
44% (41/94)
ROI
+5%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 89/203

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)	Morocco	$37	31.0¢	Lost
Will IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?	Yes	$26	28.0¢	Lost
Poland leading at halftime?	Yes	$30	38.0¢	Lost
Declan Rice: 1+ goals	Yes	$13	12.6¢	Lost
Hakan Çalhanoğlu: 1+ assists	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ goals	Yes	$8	12.0¢	Lost
Arda Güler: 1+ goals	Yes	$8	23.0¢	Lost
Gibraltar leading at halftime?	Yes	$83	62.0¢	Lost
Portugal leading at halftime?	Yes	$200	61.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	$10	23.0¢	Lost
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Benjamin Nygren: 1+ assists	Yes	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5	Over	$28	41.0¢	Lost
Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	Over	$35	35.0¢	Lost
China PR vs. Maldives: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$98	65.0¢	Lost
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals	Yes	$6	14.0¢	Lost
England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$6	23.0¢	Lost
Will Molde FK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?	Yes	$50	13.0¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	$20	27.7¢	Lost
China PR vs. Maldives: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Rúben Neves: 1+ goals	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	$9	17.0¢	Lost
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ goals	Yes	$24	23.5¢	Lost
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	$112	47.0¢	Lost
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)	Colombia	$14	28.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Manuel Akanji: 1+ goals	Yes	$14	13.5¢	Lost
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$39	39.0¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$46	43.0¢	Lost
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals	Yes	$22	24.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$93	37.1¢	Won
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals	Yes	$59	40.0¢	Won
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5	Over	$160	80.0¢	Won
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$21	1.4¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$15	24.3¢	Lost
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5	Over	$50	48.7¢	Won
Set 1 Winner: Pliskova vs Kessler	Pliskova	$30	56.0¢	Lost
Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5	Over	$39	39.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5	Over	$473	89.0¢	Won
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Zandschulp	Griekspoor	$45	61.0¢	Won
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$1.5k	66.5¢	Won
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	$2	2.5¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	$25	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)	Brazil	$66	57.0¢	Lost
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	$87	52.0¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$2	40.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$36	33.0¢	Won
Set 1 Winner: Lajal vs Riedi	Riedi	$46	61.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	$150	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$71	35.5¢	Won

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Lost
Morocco$37 @ 31.0¢
Will IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?Lost
Yes$26 @ 28.0¢
Poland leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$30 @ 38.0¢
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$13 @ 12.6¢
Hakan Çalhanoğlu: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$8 @ 12.0¢
Arda Güler: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$8 @ 23.0¢
Gibraltar leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$83 @ 62.0¢
Portugal leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$200 @ 61.0¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$10 @ 23.0¢
Scott McTominay: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Benjamin Nygren: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5Lost
Over$28 @ 41.0¢
Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$35 @ 35.0¢
China PR vs. Maldives: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$98 @ 65.0¢
Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsLost
Yes$6 @ 14.0¢
England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$6 @ 23.0¢
Will Molde FK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?Lost
Yes$50 @ 13.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$20 @ 27.7¢
China PR vs. Maldives: 1st Half O/U 2.5Lost
Over$2 @ 33.0¢
Rúben Neves: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfLost
Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$24 @ 23.5¢
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?Lost
Yes$112 @ 47.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Lost
Colombia$14 @ 28.0¢
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Manuel Akanji: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$14 @ 13.5¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$39 @ 39.0¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$46 @ 43.0¢
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$22 @ 24.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$93 @ 37.1¢
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsWon
Yes$59 @ 40.0¢
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Won
Over$160 @ 80.0¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.4¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$15 @ 24.3¢
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5Won
Over$50 @ 48.7¢
Set 1 Winner: Pliskova vs KesslerLost
Pliskova$30 @ 56.0¢
Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$39 @ 39.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Won
Over$473 @ 89.0¢
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs ZandschulpWon
Griekspoor$45 @ 61.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 66.5¢
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.5¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersLost
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Lost
Brazil$66 @ 57.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Won
Colombia$87 @ 52.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$36 @ 33.0¢
Set 1 Winner: Lajal vs RiediLost
Riedi$46 @ 61.0¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Lost
Spain$150 @ 50.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$71 @ 35.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spread: England (-1.5)	Sports	England	$383	75.6¢
Trinidad and Tobago leading at halftime?	—	Yes	$259	79.4¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Sports	Yes	$204	68.0¢
Portugal leading at halftime?	Sports	Yes	$200	61.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$194	47.1¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Sports	Spain	$150	50.0¢
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?	Sports	Yes	$112	47.0¢
China PR vs. Maldives: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$98	65.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)	—	Argentina	$88	38.0¢
Gibraltar leading at halftime?	Sports	Yes	$83	62.0¢
Ecuador leading at halftime?	—	Yes	$77	64.0¢
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5	Sports	Under	$74	55.8¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	Sports	Yes	$74	37.0¢
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$73	45.2¢
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)	Sports	Brazil	$66	57.0¢
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5	—	Over	$65	65.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Sports	Yes	$65	52.0¢
Will Panama win on 2026-09-25?	Sports	Yes	$60	61.0¢
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez	—	Pedro Martinez	$60	56.2¢
Set 1 Winner: Bicknell vs Poling	—	Bicknell	$59	65.2¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	Sports	Yes	$59	34.0¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$56	56.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals	Sports	Yes	$53	53.0¢
Will Molde FK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?	—	Yes	$50	13.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5	—	Over	$50	50.0¢
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)	Sports	Brazil	$50	50.0¢
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$50	63.0¢
Spread: France (-3.5)	Sports	France	$49	36.0¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	—	No	$47	47.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Sports	Yes	$47	47.0¢

Spread: England (-1.5)Sports
England$383 @ 75.6¢
Trinidad and Tobago leading at halftime?—
Yes$259 @ 79.4¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Sports
Yes$204 @ 68.0¢
Portugal leading at halftime?Sports
Yes$200 @ 61.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5—
Over$194 @ 47.1¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Sports
Spain$150 @ 50.0¢
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?Sports
Yes$112 @ 47.0¢
China PR vs. Maldives: 1st Half O/U 1.5Sports
Over$98 @ 65.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)—
Argentina$88 @ 38.0¢
Gibraltar leading at halftime?Sports
Yes$83 @ 62.0¢
Ecuador leading at halftime?—
Yes$77 @ 64.0¢
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5Sports
Under$74 @ 55.8¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Sports
Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$73 @ 45.2¢
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Sports
Brazil$66 @ 57.0¢
Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5—
Over$65 @ 65.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Sports
Yes$65 @ 52.0¢
Will Panama win on 2026-09-25?Sports
Yes$60 @ 61.0¢
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez—
Pedro Martinez$60 @ 56.2¢
Set 1 Winner: Bicknell vs Poling—
Bicknell$59 @ 65.2¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?Sports
Yes$59 @ 34.0¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Sports
Over$56 @ 56.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsSports
Yes$53 @ 53.0¢
Will Molde FK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?—
Yes$50 @ 13.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5—
Over$50 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Sports
Brazil$50 @ 50.0¢
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5—
Over$50 @ 63.0¢
Spread: France (-3.5)Sports
France$49 @ 36.0¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?—
No$47 @ 47.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Sports
Yes$47 @ 47.0¢