0x4fc1…e692

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4fc15f9abb0941658f07b426fe9768cc8234e692
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+18.8pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

71% @ 52.6¢

Brier

0.237

Resolved

Avg size

$11

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	68% (26/38)	+25%	38
Other	58% (7/12)	+1%	12
Tech	100% (1/1)	+25%	1

Sports38 bets
Hit rate
68% (26/38)
ROI
+25%
Other12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+1%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+25%

Track record

67% hit · 34/51

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 4.5	Over	$25	50.0¢	Won
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Augsburg O/U 1.5	Over	$25	50.0¢	Lost
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	60.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$30	75.0¢	Won
Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	$19	43.0¢	Won
SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5	Over	$20	61.5¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Serbia: Netherlands O/U 2.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5	Over	$10	46.0¢	Won
San Marino vs. Finland: O/U 6.5	Over	$5	40.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Norway: Portugal O/U 1.5	Over	$25	64.0¢	Won
Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 1.5	Over	$10	46.0¢	Lost
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5	Over	$25	50.0¢	Lost
Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5	Over	$15	35.6¢	Won
Slovakia vs. Moldova: Slovakia O/U 2.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5	Over	$10	55.0¢	Won
Germany vs. Serbia: Germany O/U 2.5	Over	$10	40.0¢	Lost
Croatia vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5	Over	$15	51.4¢	Won
Norway vs. Denmark: Norway O/U 1.5	Over	$10	60.0¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5	Over	$5	43.0¢	Won
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5	Over	$10	58.0¢	Won
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Won
Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5	Over	$25	64.0¢	Won
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5	Over	$30	49.7¢	Won
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5	Over	$25	65.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$15	80.0¢	Won
Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia: O/U 1.5	Over	$25	52.5¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. AEK: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5	Over	$30	64.0¢	Won
AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Won
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Switzerland O/U 1.5	Over	$9	66.0¢	Won
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	$20	66.0¢	Won
Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5	Over	$5	50.0¢	Won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Over	$20	45.0¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Germany: Netherlands O/U 0.5	Over	$10	60.0¢	Won
Wales vs. Denmark: Denmark O/U 0.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Won
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	Over	$10	48.0¢	Lost
France vs. Italy: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
France vs. Italy: France O/U 1.5	Over	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Serbia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5	Over	$10	66.0¢	Won
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OFI: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5	Over	$10	62.0¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5	Over	$25	52.4¢	Won
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Over	$25	62.3¢	Lost
North Macedonia vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Won
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	$9	19.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5	Over	$25	66.0¢	Lost
Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	40.0¢	Won
Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 0.5	Over	$10	45.0¢	Won
France vs. Belgium: France O/U 1.5	Over	$10	60.0¢	Won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	$92	30.0¢	Lost

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 4.5Won
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Augsburg O/U 1.5Lost
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 60.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$30 @ 75.0¢
Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5Won
Over$19 @ 43.0¢
SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5Won
Over$20 @ 61.5¢
Netherlands vs. Serbia: Netherlands O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Won
Over$10 @ 46.0¢
San Marino vs. Finland: O/U 6.5Won
Over$5 @ 40.0¢
Portugal vs. Norway: Portugal O/U 1.5Won
Over$25 @ 64.0¢
Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 1.5Lost
Over$10 @ 46.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5Lost
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5Won
Over$15 @ 35.6¢
Slovakia vs. Moldova: Slovakia O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Won
Over$10 @ 55.0¢
Germany vs. Serbia: Germany O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 40.0¢
Croatia vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Won
Over$15 @ 51.4¢
Norway vs. Denmark: Norway O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 60.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Won
Over$5 @ 43.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 58.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5Won
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5Won
Over$25 @ 64.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5Won
Over$30 @ 49.7¢
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Won
Over$25 @ 65.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 80.0¢
Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia: O/U 1.5Won
Over$25 @ 52.5¢
Manchester City FC vs. AEK: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5Won
Over$30 @ 64.0¢
AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Switzerland O/U 1.5Won
Over$9 @ 66.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5Won
Over$20 @ 66.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5Won
Over$5 @ 50.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$20 @ 45.0¢
Netherlands vs. Germany: Netherlands O/U 0.5Won
Over$10 @ 60.0¢
Wales vs. Denmark: Denmark O/U 0.5Won
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5Lost
Over$10 @ 48.0¢
France vs. Italy: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
France vs. Italy: France O/U 1.5Lost
Over$5 @ 50.0¢
Serbia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 66.0¢
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. OFI: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 62.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5Won
Over$25 @ 52.4¢
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$25 @ 62.3¢
North Macedonia vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Won
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Sean Strickland$9 @ 19.0¢
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$25 @ 66.0¢
Belarus vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5Won
Over$5 @ 40.0¢
Olympiakós SFP vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 0.5Won
Over$10 @ 45.0¢
France vs. Belgium: France O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 60.0¢
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$92 @ 30.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	—	Yes	$90	30.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5	—	Over	$50	56.0¢
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Bologna FC 1909 O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$30	60.0¢
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$30	60.0¢
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$30	65.8¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$30	62.6¢
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	Sports	Over	$30	66.0¢
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 0.5	Sports	Over	$25	50.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$25	40.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Augsburg O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$25	50.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5	—	Over	$25	57.6¢
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$25	62.3¢
ADO Den Haag vs. PSV: PSV O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$25	58.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5	—	Over	$25	50.0¢
Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5	—	Over	$25	55.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5	—	Over	$25	38.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	—	Over	$25	40.0¢
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5	Sports	Over	$25	66.0¢
Netherlands vs. Serbia: Netherlands O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$20	50.0¢
Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 3.5	Sports	Over	$20	64.0¢
Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	Sports	Over	$20	60.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5	Sports	Over	$20	45.0¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$20	49.2¢
France vs. England: France O/U 4.5 Corners	—	Over	$20	50.0¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$20	59.0¢
Grêmio FBPA vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 1.5	—	Over	$20	46.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5	Sports	Over	$15	50.0¢
Czechia vs. England: England O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$15	40.1¢
LASK Linz vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 5.5	Sports	Over	$15	33.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5	—	Over	$10	50.0¢

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?—
Yes$90 @ 30.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5—
Over$50 @ 56.0¢
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909: Bologna FC 1909 O/U 1.5Sports
Over$30 @ 60.0¢
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Atalanta BC O/U 1.5Sports
Over$30 @ 60.0¢
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 2.5Sports
Over$30 @ 65.8¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 1.5Sports
Over$30 @ 62.6¢
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Sports
Over$30 @ 66.0¢
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 0.5Sports
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5Sports
Over$25 @ 40.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Augsburg O/U 1.5Sports
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5—
Over$25 @ 57.6¢
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$25 @ 62.3¢
ADO Den Haag vs. PSV: PSV O/U 2.5Sports
Over$25 @ 58.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5—
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
Celtic FC vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5—
Over$25 @ 55.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5—
Over$25 @ 38.0¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5—
Over$25 @ 40.0¢
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5Sports
Over$25 @ 66.0¢
Netherlands vs. Serbia: Netherlands O/U 2.5Sports
Over$20 @ 50.0¢
Spain vs. Czechia: Spain O/U 3.5Sports
Over$20 @ 64.0¢
Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Sports
Over$20 @ 60.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Sports
Over$20 @ 45.0¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5—
Over$20 @ 49.2¢
France vs. England: France O/U 4.5 Corners—
Over$20 @ 50.0¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5—
Over$20 @ 59.0¢
Grêmio FBPA vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 1.5—
Over$20 @ 46.0¢
Sevilla FC vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Sports
Over$15 @ 50.0¢
Czechia vs. England: England O/U 2.5Sports
Over$15 @ 40.1¢
LASK Linz vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 5.5Sports
Over$15 @ 33.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5—
Over$10 @ 50.0¢