0x4fbc…0e57

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4fbcf25691aa07b1a6fbb922e3fe81f932230e57
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+25.8pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

91% @ 65.1¢

Brier

0.105

Resolved

122

Avg size

$42

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	50% (8/16)	+26%	16
Other	100% (5/5)	+36%	5
Tech	100% (3/3)	+43%	3
Economy	100% (3/3)	+32%	3

Sports16 bets
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
ROI
+26%
Other5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+36%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+43%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+32%

Track record

70% hit · 19/27

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	8.9¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	$79	87.7¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	5.2¢	Lost
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$63	63.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	$113	76.3¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$9	8.6¢	Lost
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	$170	63.1¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$195	48.8¢	Won
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$47	50.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	10.8¢	Lost
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$38	75.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	10.8¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$363	61.6¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$343	85.5¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$65	64.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$60	60.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	16.9¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$1.2k	75.3¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$72	72.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$1.7k	78.0¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$97	60.7¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	$61	87.5¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$187	78.6¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$80	80.0¢	Lost

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 8.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Won
Yes$79 @ 87.7¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.2¢
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$63 @ 63.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Won
Yes$113 @ 76.3¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$9 @ 8.6¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Won
Yes$170 @ 63.1¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$195 @ 48.8¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$47 @ 50.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 10.8¢
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$38 @ 75.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 10.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Won
Yes$363 @ 61.6¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Won
Yes$343 @ 85.5¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$65 @ 64.0¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$17 @ 16.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 75.3¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$72 @ 72.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 78.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
Yes$97 @ 60.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Won
Yes$61 @ 87.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
Yes$187 @ 78.6¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Lost
Yes$80 @ 80.0¢

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