← Smart money
0x4f07…2036
ProfitableEdge
+14.1pp
ROI
+123%
Win rate
36% @ 22.0¢
Brier
0.226
Resolved
97
Avg size
$65
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 33% (17/52) | +106% | 52 |
| Sports | 50% (2/4) | +429% | 4 |
- Other52 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (17/52)
- ROI
- +106%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +429%
Track record
34% hit · 19/56- Yes$126 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 18.7¢
- Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 3.9¢
- No$24 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$64 @ 21.1¢
- Yes$27 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$25 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 33.8¢
- Will "Zootopia 2" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?LostYes$37 @ 6.0¢
- Will Claire Danes (The Beast in Me) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?LostYes$8 @ 5.5¢
- No$96 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 59.4¢
- Yes$82 @ 23.5¢
- Yes$133 @ 17.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 36.5¢
- No$153 @ 11.7¢
- Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?LostYes$98 @ 39.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$44 @ 33.6¢
- No$533 @ 14.9¢
- Yes$58 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$118 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$119 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$283 @ 77.5¢
- Yes$228 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$52 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$118 @ 35.1¢
- Yes$60 @ 24.9¢
- No$396 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$23 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
- No$272 @ 40.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$144 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.7¢
- No$204 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$406 @ 31.1¢
- No$140 @ 44.1¢
- Yes$117 @ 40.2¢
- Yes$280 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$269 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$119 @ 22.7¢
- No$280 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 69.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $285 | 57.0¢ |
| Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | Politics | No | $65 | 20.0¢ |
| Spain General Election: Adelante Andalucía wins a seat? | Politics | Yes | $48 | 47.5¢ |
| Will BNG win 4 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Politics | Yes | $41 | 13.1¢ |
- No$285 @ 57.0¢
- No$65 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$41 @ 13.1¢