0x4e93…4325

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4e93658a4982bcc3029aab4f0587a23e10f34325
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-22.2pp

ROI

+72%

Win rate

21% @ 43.4¢

Brier

0.323

Resolved

118

Avg size

$51

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (5/15)	+183%	15
Sports	50% (3/6)	+181%	6
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other15 bets
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
ROI
+183%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+181%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 8/23

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$281	47.9¢	Won
Will 'Dune: Part Two' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?	Yes	$13	6.5¢	Lost
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$145	8.7¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$52	68.0¢	Won
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$20	17.8¢	Won
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	$146	24.7¢	Lost
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$45	16.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	No	$19	34.0¢	Lost
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?	Yes	$138	57.3¢	Lost
Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?	Yes	$85	36.2¢	Won
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	$2.3k	46.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?	No	$90	65.2¢	Won
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$1.5k	18.1¢	Won
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$264	19.5¢	Won
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?	No	$40	11.4¢	Lost
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?	Yes	$767	48.4¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$66	51.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?	No	$15	59.0¢	Won
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	$79	9.3¢	Lost
Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?	Yes	$68	50.0¢	Lost
Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?	Yes	$28	76.0¢	Lost
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?	Yes	$118	25.0¢	Lost

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$281 @ 47.9¢
Will 'Dune: Part Two' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?Lost
Yes$13 @ 6.5¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$145 @ 8.7¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$52 @ 68.0¢
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$20 @ 17.8¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Lost
No$146 @ 24.7¢
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$45 @ 16.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Lost
No$19 @ 34.0¢
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?Lost
Yes$138 @ 57.3¢
Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?Won
Yes$85 @ 36.2¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Lost
No$2.3k @ 46.8¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Won
No$90 @ 65.2¢
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 18.1¢
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$264 @ 19.5¢
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?Lost
No$40 @ 11.4¢
Will 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?Lost
Yes$767 @ 48.4¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$66 @ 51.1¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Won
No$15 @ 59.0¢
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?Lost
Yes$79 @ 9.3¢
Will 'The Brutalist' win the Golden Globe for Best Original Score?Lost
Yes$68 @ 50.0¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?Lost
Yes$28 @ 76.0¢
Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Lost
Yes$118 @ 25.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$204	47.9¢

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$204 @ 47.9¢