0x4e83…a81f

Specialization by sphere

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  92% (12/13)

  ROI

  +22%

• Geopolitics6 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (4/6)

  ROI

  +14%

• Other1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +29%

• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
  No$30 @ 44.0¢
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$110 @ 82.0¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$100 @ 82.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
  Yes$30 @ 77.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$90 @ 77.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$50 @ 26.0¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
  No$280 @ 77.7¢
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$98 @ 53.0¢
• IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Won
  No$150 @ 85.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$30 @ 82.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Won
  No$57 @ 82.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$150 @ 79.9¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
  No$185 @ 74.3¢
• Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 34.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Won
  No$110 @ 71.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
  No$75 @ 69.0¢
• Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?Won
  No$150 @ 70.0¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Lost
  Yes$140 @ 47.4¢
• Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?Won
  No$186 @ 68.4¢
• Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?Won
  Yes$45 @ 62.0¢

Current positions

• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$600 @ 82.2¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$452 @ 76.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$450 @ 80.3¢
• Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$387 @ 62.9¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$320 @ 76.7¢
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$314 @ 88.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$130 @ 90.8¢
• Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$104 @ 57.3¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$72 @ 76.1¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$41 @ 26.0¢