0x4e72…ffb9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4e72c22cd76f9973a48aedfd79feeaacc8b7ffb9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.2pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

15% @ 11.9¢

Brier

0.050

Resolved

379

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	15% (187/1287)	+22%	1287
Science	13% (130/1000)	+0%	1000
Politics	15% (7/47)	+37%	47
Sports	52% (13/25)	+14%	25
Culture	11% (1/9)	-56%	9
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+182%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1287 bets
Hit rate
15% (187/1287)
ROI
+22%
Science1000 bets
Hit rate
13% (130/1000)
ROI
+0%
Politics47 bets
Hit rate
15% (7/47)
ROI
+37%
Sports25 bets
Hit rate
52% (13/25)
ROI
+14%
Culture9 bets
Hit rate
11% (1/9)
ROI
-56%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+182%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

14% hit · 339/2373

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?	No	$35	76.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	$20	33.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on June 26?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 26?	No	$8	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 26?	No	$6	96.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	$6	10.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on June 26?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26?	No	$10	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?	No	$4	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?	Yes	$1	59.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?	No	$0	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	No	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?	No	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$9	89.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?	No	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Draw at halftime?	No	$6	86.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 26°C on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 27?	Yes	$0	1.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 27?	Yes	$0	1.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	2.6¢	Lost
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	$0	1.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?	No	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?	No	$12	39.3¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 27?	Yes	$0	5.2¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?Lost
No$35 @ 76.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?Won
Yes$20 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 26?Won
No$8 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 26?Won
No$6 @ 96.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$6 @ 10.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on June 26?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26?Won
No$10 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?Lost
No$4 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?Won
Yes$1 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?Lost
No$0 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?Lost
No$1 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?Won
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$9 @ 89.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?Lost
No$0 @ 0.6¢
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Draw at halftime?Won
No$6 @ 86.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 26°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.6¢
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?Lost
No$2 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?Won
No$12 @ 39.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?	—	Yes	$88	38.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?	—	Yes	$46	40.0¢
Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Sports	No	$31	36.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$23	30.0¢
Will Wanda James be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Politics	Yes	$21	5.5¢
Will Tiffany Rodgers be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Politics	Yes	$21	5.5¢
Will Christopher Oldfield be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Politics	Yes	$21	5.5¢
Will Santiago Palomino be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Politics	Yes	$21	5.5¢
Will Carter Hanson be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Politics	Yes	$21	5.5¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	No	$15	65.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or below on June 26?	—	Yes	$15	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$15	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or higher on June 26?	—	Yes	$14	8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$14	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$13	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$13	8.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?	—	Yes	$12	35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$9	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 26?	—	No	$8	74.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C or higher on June 27?	—	Yes	$7	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$6	9.1¢
Will Ecuador win the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	12.5¢
Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?	—	Yes	$6	17.9¢
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%?	Other	Yes	$5	16.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?	—	No	$5	2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 26?	—	No	$5	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on June 28?	—	Yes	$4	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 28?	—	Yes	$4	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 28?	—	Yes	$4	9.1¢

Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?—
Yes$88 @ 38.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?—
Yes$46 @ 40.0¢
Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Sports
No$31 @ 36.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on June 26?—
Yes$23 @ 30.0¢
Will Wanda James be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
Yes$21 @ 5.5¢
Will Tiffany Rodgers be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
Yes$21 @ 5.5¢
Will Christopher Oldfield be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
Yes$21 @ 5.5¢
Will Santiago Palomino be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
Yes$21 @ 5.5¢
Will Carter Hanson be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics
Yes$21 @ 5.5¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
No$15 @ 65.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or below on June 26?—
Yes$15 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 26?—
Yes$15 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or higher on June 26?—
Yes$14 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 26?—
Yes$14 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 26?—
Yes$13 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 26?—
Yes$13 @ 8.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?—
Yes$12 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 26?—
Yes$9 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 26?—
No$8 @ 74.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C or higher on June 27?—
Yes$7 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 26?—
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will Ecuador win the World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 12.5¢
Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?—
Yes$6 @ 17.9¢
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%?Other
Yes$5 @ 16.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?—
No$5 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 26?—
No$5 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on June 28?—
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 28?—
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 28?—
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢