0x4e59…e56a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4e59cee7a51cb9d1be92dffb5119f9af508ae56a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.8pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

27% @ 19.5¢

Brier

0.095

Resolved

451

Avg size

$156

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (25/48)	+46%	48
Sports	33% (7/21)	+16%	21
Crypto	0% (0/21)	-100%	21
Politics	7% (1/14)	-96%	14
Tech	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Culture	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other48 bets
Hit rate
52% (25/48)
ROI
+46%
Sports21 bets
Hit rate
33% (7/21)
ROI
+16%
Crypto21 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/21)
ROI
-100%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
7% (1/14)
ROI
-96%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

30% hit · 33/110

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	$8	0.9¢	Won
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	Yes	$92	35.6¢	Lost
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Lost
Will SC Cambuur win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	$0	1.2¢	Lost
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	$0	0.1¢	Won
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Nick Walker win Mr. Olympia 2026?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs	METANOIA WOLVES	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Nice 0 - 0 Saint-Etienne?	No	$5	90.0¢	Won
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-08?	No	$16	78.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$19	1.9¢	Lost
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	Yes	$33	66.7¢	Won
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 5.5 Corners	Under	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Bury FC 2 - 1 Bromsgrove Sporting FC?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 0 Gambia?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	$43.1k	85.6¢	Won
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers	SSG Landers	$17	0.2¢	Lost
Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-08-08?	No	$11	78.8¢	Won
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$135	1.3¢	Lost
Will Ossett United FC win on 2026-09-05?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$574	19.1¢	Lost
Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?	Yes	$148	11.6¢	Won
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 2.5 Corners	Over	$19	23.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?	Yes	$65	9.3¢	Won
Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?	Yes	$110	40.9¢	Won
Selya Rakki vs. Theresa Stabauer: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	$6	1.0¢	Lost
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	$189	6.1¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$18	39.0¢	Lost
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?	Yes	$766	16.0¢	Lost
CS Cristal to score first vs. CA Grau?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Won
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?	No	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Malmesbury Victoria FC vs. Longlevens AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Under	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Rakki vs. Stabauer: Match O/U 21.5	Over	$6	1.0¢	Lost

KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung LionsWon
Samsung Lions$8 @ 0.9¢
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Lost
Yes$92 @ 35.6¢
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Will SC Cambuur win on 2026-08-01?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersLost
Over$0 @ 1.2¢
KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersWon
Under$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Nick Walker win Mr. Olympia 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsLost
METANOIA WOLVES$0 @ 1.0¢
Exact Score: Nice 0 - 0 Saint-Etienne?Won
No$5 @ 90.0¢
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-08?Won
No$16 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$19 @ 1.9¢
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Won
Yes$33 @ 66.7¢
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 5.5 CornersLost
Under$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Bury FC 2 - 1 Bromsgrove Sporting FC?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 0 Gambia?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia TigersWon
Kia Tigers$43.1k @ 85.6¢
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia TigersLost
SSG Landers$17 @ 0.2¢
Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-08-08?Won
No$11 @ 78.8¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$135 @ 1.3¢
Will Ossett United FC win on 2026-09-05?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$574 @ 19.1¢
Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?Won
Yes$148 @ 11.6¢
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC: RC Celta de Vigo O/U 2.5 CornersLost
Over$19 @ 23.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?Won
Yes$65 @ 9.3¢
Over $30M committed to the Solomon public sale?Won
Yes$110 @ 40.9¢
Selya Rakki vs. Theresa Stabauer: Total Sets O/U 2.5Lost
Over 2.5$6 @ 1.0¢
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Lost
No$189 @ 6.1¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$18 @ 39.0¢
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?Lost
Yes$766 @ 16.0¢
CS Cristal to score first vs. CA Grau?Won
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Over $45M committed to the Jumper public sale?Lost
No$2 @ 2.0¢
Malmesbury Victoria FC vs. Longlevens AFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Lost
Under$0 @ 2.0¢
Rakki vs. Stabauer: Match O/U 21.5Lost
Over$6 @ 1.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$16.4k	35.0¢
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$6.5k	56.9¢
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?	—	Yes	$5.0k	39.1¢
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?	—	Yes	$3.6k	36.3¢
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?	—	Yes	$1.4k	43.7¢
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?	—	Yes	$615	46.3¢
Exact Score: Al Hazem SC 0 - 0 Al Nassr Saudi Club?	—	Yes	$481	33.2¢
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?	—	Yes	$246	14.1¢
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?	—	Yes	$147	17.3¢
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?	—	Yes	$104	48.3¢
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Neither team to score first?	—	Yes	$45	15.0¢
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$25	32.0¢

Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Sports
Yes$16.4k @ 35.0¢
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?Sports
Yes$6.5k @ 56.9¢
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?—
Yes$5.0k @ 39.1¢
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?—
Yes$3.6k @ 36.3¢
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?—
Yes$1.4k @ 43.7¢
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?—
Yes$615 @ 46.3¢
Exact Score: Al Hazem SC 0 - 0 Al Nassr Saudi Club?—
Yes$481 @ 33.2¢
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?—
Yes$246 @ 14.1¢
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?—
Yes$147 @ 17.3¢
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?—
Yes$104 @ 48.3¢
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Neither team to score first?—
Yes$45 @ 15.0¢
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?Sports
Yes$25 @ 32.0¢