← Smart money
0x4e3d…8554
ProfitableSniperEdge
+10.0pp
ROI
+52%
Win rate
64% @ 53.7¢
Brier
0.171
Resolved
286
Avg size
$237
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 67% (8/12) | +43% | 12 |
| Politics | 44% (4/9) | +75% | 9 |
| Tech | 57% (4/7) | +19% | 7 |
| Other | 50% (2/4) | -4% | 4 |
- Sports12 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (8/12)
- ROI
- +43%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- +75%
- Tech7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +19%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -4%
Track record
56% hit · 18/32- Yes$1.6k @ 49.6¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$14.2k @ 30.5¢
- Team Falcons$273 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$7.7k @ 39.8¢
- No$12.7k @ 78.7¢
- No$1.2k @ 84.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 77.0¢
- Yes$810 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$530 @ 38.6¢
- No$15.7k @ 60.5¢
- Yes$202 @ 68.3¢
- Yes$517 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 85.6¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 71.5¢
- Spirit$48 @ 23.0¢
- No$179 @ 17.0¢
- No$70 @ 70.0¢
- No$852 @ 82.6¢
- No$34 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$59 @ 14.2¢
- FUT Esports$229 @ 49.0¢
- Legacy$261 @ 46.0¢
- No$564 @ 13.4¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 62.0¢
- No$117 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$709 @ 49.6¢
- No$2.1k @ 67.0¢
- No$753 @ 79.5¢
- No$1.7k @ 24.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $17.3k | 50.6¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $5.5k | 55.0¢ |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | — | Yes | $900 | 72.0¢ |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | — | Yes | $320 | 87.0¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $200 | 0.7¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $173 | 1.0¢ |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $85 | 12.0¢ |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $51 | 0.3¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $16 | 56.0¢ |
| Will Natasha Howard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | — | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ |
- Yes$17.3k @ 50.6¢
- Yes$5.5k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$900 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$320 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$200 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$173 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢