0x4e07…c7a6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4e0799513acffcb76fe1c863413f78158cd3c7a6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+17.1pp

ROI

+54%

Win rate

51% @ 33.9¢

Brier

0.225

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (18/34)	+46%	34
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Sports	100% (1/1)	+355%	1

Other34 bets
Hit rate
53% (18/34)
ROI
+46%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+355%

Track record

51% hit · 19/37

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	Yes	$10	64.0¢	Won
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$32	77.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Out of NATO" or "Withdraw" during events with Rutte?	No	$2	42.0¢	Won
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?	No	$3	12.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	Yes	$10	65.7¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$5	40.0¢	Lost
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$19	65.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the World Cup?	Yes	$15	22.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$30	87.4¢	Won
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?	No	$1	7.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?	Yes	$5	37.0¢	Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$3	3.2¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$7	23.5¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$5	75.0¢	Won
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	No	$2	25.0¢	Won
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?	No	$7	12.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	$39	68.9¢	Won
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Won
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?	No	$10	81.7¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	Yes	$1	5.5¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$10	39.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$15	36.6¢	Won
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	No	$5	74.0¢	Won
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	No	$20	78.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on January 28?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	No	$42	77.5¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	No	$1	13.0¢	Lost
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	No	$23	39.9¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$1	2.8¢	Lost
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	$2	0.2¢	Lost
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Won

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Won
Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$32 @ 77.0¢
Will Trump say "Out of NATO" or "Withdraw" during events with Rutte?Won
No$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?Won
No$3 @ 12.2¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Lost
Yes$10 @ 65.7¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$19 @ 65.0¢
Will Spain win the World Cup?Won
Yes$15 @ 22.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$30 @ 87.4¢
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 37.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.2¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$7 @ 23.5¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$5 @ 75.0¢
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Won
No$2 @ 25.0¢
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 12.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Won
No$39 @ 68.9¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?Won
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Won
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?Won
No$10 @ 81.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 39.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 36.6¢
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?Won
No$5 @ 74.0¢
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Won
No$20 @ 78.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on January 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?Lost
No$42 @ 77.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Won
No$23 @ 39.9¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Lost
No$2 @ 0.2¢
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Won
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spain snap election called in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	28.3¢

Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 28.3¢