0x4d6e…5cfd

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4d6ef7033e3e332ba584882d09070b3abe755cfd
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-8.4pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

41% @ 49.2¢

Brier

0.268

Resolved

3306

Avg size

$400

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (22/48)	-0%	48
Sports	49% (17/35)	+12%	35

Other48 bets
Hit rate
46% (22/48)
ROI
-0%
Sports35 bets
Hit rate
49% (17/35)
ROI
+12%

Track record

47% hit · 39/83

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	Over	$9.7k	48.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	MOUZ	$37.2k	62.0¢	Won
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	Carlos Alcaraz	$32.7k	46.7¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?	No	$15.2k	38.0¢	Won
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	$15.4k	44.0¢	Lost
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner	XLG Gaming	$7.8k	37.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner	XLG Gaming	$87	25.0¢	Lost
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	Paper Rex	$57.5k	57.0¢	Won
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D	NRG	$495	61.1¢	Won
Capitals vs. Devils	Devils	$58.2k	51.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	Over	$6.4k	47.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs	3DMAX	$3.0k	42.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	LGD Gaming	$8.6k	43.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)	XLG Gaming	$1.7k	56.9¢	Lost
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5	Over	$22.4k	51.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?	No	$25.9k	47.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	$57.6k	72.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	$2.2k	31.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	Team Liquid	$17.7k	42.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs	FUT Esports	$33.8k	33.0¢	Lost
Maple Leafs vs. Senators	Senators	$5.9k	63.0¢	Won
Virginia Tech vs. Maryland: O/U 53.5	Under	$225	50.0¢	Lost
Vikings vs. Bears	Vikings	$10.2k	34.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	3DMAX	$22.7k	47.8¢	Won
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	TYLOO	$228	31.0¢	Lost
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	$13.4k	67.0¢	Lost
Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5	Under	$11.1k	51.0¢	Won
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner	Team Vitality	$25.4k	48.8¢	Won
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner	Team Liquid	$647	47.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	PARIVISION	$30.4k	49.0¢	Lost
Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winner	EDward Gaming	$2.7k	35.3¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)	Cody Durden	$5.4k	16.0¢	Won
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B	Team Vitality	$37.8k	73.4¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	Team Liquid	$295	59.0¢	Lost
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	$500	20.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	$10.8k	53.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	$13.6k	67.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)	Team Vitality	$3.2k	69.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	$62.0k	77.5¢	Won
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sean OMalley	$46.8k	78.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	$13.6k	50.0¢	Lost
Predators vs. Kings	Kings	$36.4k	56.0¢	Won
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D	Nongshim RedForce	$43.5k	49.4¢	Lost
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5	Under	$18.9k	52.6¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	Cam Rowston	$9.5k	62.0¢	Won
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5	Over	$18.4k	49.7¢	Won
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	$2.3k	58.0¢	Lost
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner	G2 Esports	$12.6k	54.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	$17.6k	44.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	magic	$4.3k	43.0¢	Lost

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$9.7k @ 48.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BWon
MOUZ$37.2k @ 62.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerLost
Carlos Alcaraz$32.7k @ 46.7¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?Won
No$15.2k @ 38.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsLost
Cincinnati Reds$15.4k @ 44.0¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLost
XLG Gaming$7.8k @ 37.0¢
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLost
XLG Gaming$87 @ 25.0¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CWon
Paper Rex$57.5k @ 57.0¢
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DWon
NRG$495 @ 61.1¢
Capitals vs. DevilsWon
Devils$58.2k @ 51.0¢
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Won
Over$6.4k @ 47.0¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsWon
3DMAX$3.0k @ 42.0¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsWon
LGD Gaming$8.6k @ 43.0¢
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)Lost
XLG Gaming$1.7k @ 56.9¢
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Lost
Over$22.4k @ 51.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?Lost
No$25.9k @ 47.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerWon
Natus Vincere$57.6k @ 72.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Lost
No$2.2k @ 31.0¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CLost
Team Liquid$17.7k @ 42.0¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLost
FUT Esports$33.8k @ 33.0¢
Maple Leafs vs. SenatorsWon
Senators$5.9k @ 63.0¢
Virginia Tech vs. Maryland: O/U 53.5Lost
Under$225 @ 50.0¢
Vikings vs. BearsWon
Vikings$10.2k @ 34.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageWon
3DMAX$22.7k @ 47.8¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CLost
TYLOO$228 @ 31.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Lost
Liverpool FC$13.4k @ 67.0¢
Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Won
Under$11.1k @ 51.0¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 WinnerWon
Team Vitality$25.4k @ 48.8¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerWon
Team Liquid$647 @ 47.6¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsLost
PARIVISION$30.4k @ 49.0¢
Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerLost
EDward Gaming$2.7k @ 35.3¢
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)Won
Cody Durden$5.4k @ 16.0¢
Valorant: Global Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions Group BWon
Team Vitality$37.8k @ 73.4¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsLost
Team Liquid$295 @ 59.0¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsLost
BNK FEARX$500 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Won
Spurs$10.8k @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageLost
MOUZ$13.6k @ 67.0¢
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Won
Team Vitality$3.2k @ 69.0¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsWon
FUT Esports$62.0k @ 77.5¢
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Sean OMalley$46.8k @ 78.0¢
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Lost
Under$13.6k @ 50.0¢
Predators vs. KingsWon
Kings$36.4k @ 56.0¢
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DLost
Nongshim RedForce$43.5k @ 49.4¢
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Won
Under$18.9k @ 52.6¢
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Cam Rowston$9.5k @ 62.0¢
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5Won
Over$18.4k @ 49.7¢
Panthers vs. Maple LeafsLost
Maple Leafs$2.3k @ 58.0¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerWon
G2 Esports$12.6k @ 54.4¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageWon
MOUZ$17.6k @ 44.0¢
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageLost
magic$4.3k @ 43.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	Sports	TYLOO	$9.9k	19.8¢

Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CSports
TYLOO$9.9k @ 19.8¢