0x4d62…a1f0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4d62b95e963b354d75ba8f6a020cca1348cda1f0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+17.3pp

ROI

+31%

Win rate

29% @ 11.2¢

Brier

0.230

Resolved

564

Avg size

$88

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	24% (16/68)	+31%	68
Culture	33% (1/3)	+234%	3

Other68 bets
Hit rate
24% (16/68)
ROI
+31%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+234%

Track record

24% hit · 17/71

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$155	5.3¢	Lost
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?	Yes	$800	10.6¢	Lost
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?	Yes	$129	5.5¢	Lost
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?	Yes	$653	26.8¢	Won
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be $13m or more?	Yes	$947	3.7¢	Lost
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?	Yes	$464	15.3¢	Won
Will 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?	Yes	$1.0k	3.4¢	Lost
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $22m or more?	Yes	$843	4.5¢	Lost
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$609	4.2¢	Lost
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?	Yes	$878	44.7¢	Won
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$390	2.5¢	Lost
Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	$1.1k	9.2¢	Lost
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	$27	7.4¢	Lost
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?	Yes	$748	19.0¢	Won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?	Yes	$119	5.6¢	Lost
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?	Yes	$1.9k	29.1¢	Won
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $22-25m on 3-day opening weekend?	Yes	$301	6.4¢	Lost
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $67m and 72m on opening weekend?	Yes	$133	1.2¢	Lost
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?	Yes	$630	18.5¢	Lost
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?	No	$2.1k	45.0¢	Won
Will "Companion" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8-11m?	Yes	$288	19.2¢	Won
Will 'Captain America' Opening Weekend Box Office be >$100m?	Yes	$266	23.8¢	Lost
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	Yes	$24	11.8¢	Won
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?	No	$2.3k	66.9¢	Won
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?	Yes	$475	52.4¢	Lost
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?	Yes	$89	12.8¢	Lost
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$2.0k	9.2¢	Lost
Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross between 2-3m on opening weekend?	Yes	$15	2.4¢	Lost
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $16-19m on 3-day opening weekend?	Yes	$467	16.5¢	Lost
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	$489	6.3¢	Lost
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $44-48m opening weekend?	Yes	$65	23.0¢	Lost
Will 'Nosferatu' gross between $25-30m on 5-day opening weekend?	Yes	$679	34.6¢	Lost
Will "Companion" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8m?	Yes	$239	8.2¢	Lost
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	Yes	$10	5.9¢	Lost
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $150-160m opening weekend?	Yes	$392	14.6¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	$542	17.8¢	Won
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?	Yes	$353	8.4¢	Lost
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	$37	3.1¢	Lost
Will "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9-12m?	Yes	$491	37.3¢	Lost
Will 'Sinners' gross more than $37m on opening weekend?	No	$33	2.3¢	Lost
Will 'The Monkey' gross between 9-12m on its opening weekend?	Yes	$610	7.6¢	Lost
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?	Yes	$1.0k	9.8¢	Won
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross less than $60m opening weekend?	Yes	$1.6k	19.0¢	Lost
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	$436	11.5¢	Lost
Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?	Yes	$1.8k	17.0¢	Lost
Will 'Shadow Force' gross less than $1.2m opening weekend?	Yes	$138	9.1¢	Lost
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?	Yes	$4.9k	20.2¢	Lost
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?	Yes	$383	5.2¢	Lost
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?	Yes	$1.0k	23.1¢	Won
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?	Yes	$4.3k	17.5¢	Lost

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$155 @ 5.3¢
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?Lost
Yes$800 @ 10.6¢
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?Lost
Yes$129 @ 5.5¢
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?Won
Yes$653 @ 26.8¢
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be $13m or more?Lost
Yes$947 @ 3.7¢
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?Won
Yes$464 @ 15.3¢
Will 'Sonic 3' gross less than $56m on 3-day opening weekend?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 3.4¢
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $22m or more?Lost
Yes$843 @ 4.5¢
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$609 @ 4.2¢
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?Won
Yes$878 @ 44.7¢
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$390 @ 2.5¢
Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 9.2¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?Lost
Yes$27 @ 7.4¢
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?Won
Yes$748 @ 19.0¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Lost
Yes$119 @ 5.6¢
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 29.1¢
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $22-25m on 3-day opening weekend?Lost
Yes$301 @ 6.4¢
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $67m and 72m on opening weekend?Lost
Yes$133 @ 1.2¢
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?Lost
Yes$630 @ 18.5¢
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?Won
No$2.1k @ 45.0¢
Will "Companion" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8-11m?Won
Yes$288 @ 19.2¢
Will 'Captain America' Opening Weekend Box Office be >$100m?Lost
Yes$266 @ 23.8¢
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?Won
Yes$24 @ 11.8¢
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?Won
No$2.3k @ 66.9¢
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?Lost
Yes$475 @ 52.4¢
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$89 @ 12.8¢
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 9.2¢
Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross between 2-3m on opening weekend?Lost
Yes$15 @ 2.4¢
Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $16-19m on 3-day opening weekend?Lost
Yes$467 @ 16.5¢
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Lost
Yes$489 @ 6.3¢
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $44-48m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$65 @ 23.0¢
Will 'Nosferatu' gross between $25-30m on 5-day opening weekend?Lost
Yes$679 @ 34.6¢
Will "Companion" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8m?Lost
Yes$239 @ 8.2¢
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.9¢
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $150-160m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$392 @ 14.6¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Won
Yes$542 @ 17.8¢
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$353 @ 8.4¢
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Lost
Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
Will "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9-12m?Lost
Yes$491 @ 37.3¢
Will 'Sinners' gross more than $37m on opening weekend?Lost
No$33 @ 2.3¢
Will 'The Monkey' gross between 9-12m on its opening weekend?Lost
Yes$610 @ 7.6¢
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $13m?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 9.8¢
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross less than $60m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 19.0¢
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Lost
Yes$436 @ 11.5¢
Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 17.0¢
Will 'Shadow Force' gross less than $1.2m opening weekend?Lost
Yes$138 @ 9.1¢
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?Lost
Yes$4.9k @ 20.2¢
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?Lost
Yes$383 @ 5.2¢
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 23.1¢
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?Lost
Yes$4.3k @ 17.5¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	—	Yes	$873	8.0¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m?	Culture	No	$378	14.9¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Culture	Yes	$230	19.5¢

Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?—
Yes$873 @ 8.0¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m?Culture
No$378 @ 14.9¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?Culture
Yes$230 @ 19.5¢