0x4d59…1e2f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4d59652f8c3b4cb2aee44a54adbeb59fb3631e2f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.3pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

43% @ 36.8¢

Brier

0.143

Resolved

1361

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	25% (49/197)	-9%	197
Crypto	24% (24/100)	+2%	100
Politics	54% (14/26)	+108%	26
Geopolitics	71% (5/7)	+13%	7
Sports	100% (1/1)	+525%	1

Other197 bets
Hit rate
25% (49/197)
ROI
-9%
Crypto100 bets
Hit rate
24% (24/100)
ROI
+2%
Politics26 bets
Hit rate
54% (14/26)
ROI
+108%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+13%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+525%

Track record

28% hit · 93/331

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?	No	$4	18.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?	No	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?	Yes	$2	32.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?	No	$3	15.3¢	Won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$3	16.4¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	78.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$9	81.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	$4	1.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 6?	No	$1	86.0¢	Won
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?	No	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?	Yes	$5	62.3¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$9	33.0¢	Lost
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$8	57.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?	Yes	$2	2.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 6?	No	$1	2.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12?	No	$2	8.6¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?	Yes	$3	4.1¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	No	$24	25.7¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	Yes	$1	37.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?	No	$2	75.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12?	Yes	$14	86.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	20.3¢	Lost
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	82.5¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 26?	No	$1	5.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?	No	$9	3.4¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	$2	16.9¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?	No	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?	Yes	$1	2.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?	No	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 20?	No	$1	6.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	No	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$1	60.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	$1	14.3¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 3?	No	$5	5.8¢	Lost
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in April?	No	$1	70.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$11	88.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?	Yes	$1	77.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?	No	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?	Yes	$2	88.5¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 3?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?	Yes	$2	11.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?	Yes	$5	72.3¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	37.7¢	Lost

Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?Lost
No$4 @ 18.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?Lost
No$1 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?Won
Yes$2 @ 32.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Won
No$3 @ 15.3¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$3 @ 16.4¢
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$9 @ 81.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 6?Won
No$1 @ 86.0¢
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Lost
No$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?Won
Yes$5 @ 62.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$9 @ 33.0¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Won
Yes$8 @ 57.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 6?Lost
No$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?Lost
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12?Lost
No$2 @ 8.6¢
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.1¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Won
No$24 @ 25.7¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 37.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?Won
No$2 @ 75.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12?Won
Yes$14 @ 86.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 20.3¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2 @ 82.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 26?Lost
No$1 @ 5.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?Lost
No$9 @ 3.4¢
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.9¢
Will Solana reach $100 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?Lost
No$1 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?Lost
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 20?Lost
No$1 @ 6.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Lost
No$1 @ 37.0¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
No$1 @ 60.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Won
No$1 @ 14.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 3?Lost
No$5 @ 5.8¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.10 in April?Lost
No$1 @ 70.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
No$11 @ 88.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?Won
Yes$1 @ 77.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?Lost
No$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?Won
Yes$2 @ 88.5¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Won
Yes$5 @ 72.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 37.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$31	42.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$16	11.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14	93.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$14	81.8¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$13	87.2¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$10	19.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$10	92.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$9	72.9¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$9	71.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$7	87.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Politics	No	$6	83.3¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Politics	No	$6	85.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4	72.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4	73.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4	48.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$4	19.8¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3	98.5¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Politics	No	$2	81.7¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$2	5.5¢
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2	54.9¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	No	$2	92.3¢
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2	98.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$2	18.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	26.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1	30.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	63.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	91.0¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	97.0¢
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	95.0¢
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	87.0¢

Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$31 @ 42.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$16 @ 11.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14 @ 93.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$14 @ 81.8¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$13 @ 87.2¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$10 @ 19.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$10 @ 92.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$9 @ 72.9¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$9 @ 71.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$7 @ 87.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
No$6 @ 83.3¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
No$6 @ 85.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4 @ 72.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4 @ 73.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4 @ 48.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$4 @ 19.8¢
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Crypto
No$3 @ 98.5¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 81.7¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 5.5¢
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 54.9¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
No$2 @ 92.3¢
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?Crypto
No$2 @ 98.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 18.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 26.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 30.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 63.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 91.0¢
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 97.0¢
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 95.0¢
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 87.0¢