0x4d52…6236

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4d52e1f6a682f1f2e104047585797b5803406236
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.1pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

44% @ 36.1¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

461

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (63/117)	+85%	117
Politics	33% (22/67)	+11%	67
Sports	43% (21/49)	-4%	49
Geopolitics	20% (2/10)	-72%	10
Crypto	83% (5/6)	+25%	6
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other117 bets
Hit rate
54% (63/117)
ROI
+85%
Politics67 bets
Hit rate
33% (22/67)
ROI
+11%
Sports49 bets
Hit rate
43% (21/49)
ROI
-4%
Geopolitics10 bets
Hit rate
20% (2/10)
ROI
-72%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+25%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

45% hit · 113/250

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 16?	No	$5	97.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16?	No	$4	89.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 16?	No	$5	97.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?	No	$4	89.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$18	88.0¢	Won
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$5	5.5¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$4	86.1¢	Won
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	No	$3	58.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$5	10.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.9¢	Lost
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	No	$19	84.0¢	Won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 19?	No	$3	55.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$14	55.0¢	Lost
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Philadelphia Phillies	$10	48.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	No	$11	74.4¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	24.0¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$3	66.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$4	71.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	$4	83.0¢	Won
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	$5	3.6¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?	No	$8	47.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	$11	44.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	$16	53.0¢	Lost
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$3	27.2¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$3	27.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $75 on June 26?	No	$4	86.8¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	No	$17	68.0¢	Won
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$1	5.4¢	Lost
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$3	65.0¢	Lost
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$1	17.1¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	No	$15	61.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$4	9.1¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $1.10 on July 3?	No	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	Boston Red Sox	$2	36.0¢	Won
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	No	$4	85.5¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$20	57.0¢	Lost
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	$18	55.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$1	1.3¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$5	20.0¢	Lost

Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 16?Won
No$5 @ 97.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16?Won
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 16?Won
No$5 @ 97.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?Won
No$4 @ 89.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$18 @ 88.0¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$5 @ 5.5¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
No$4 @ 86.1¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Lost
No$3 @ 58.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Won
No$19 @ 84.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 19?Lost
No$3 @ 55.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$14 @ 55.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxWon
Philadelphia Phillies$10 @ 48.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Won
No$11 @ 74.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 24.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$4 @ 71.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
No$2 @ 0.2¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?Won
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?Won
No$8 @ 47.0¢
Knicks vs. CavaliersWon
Knicks$11 @ 44.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Lost
No$16 @ 53.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$3 @ 27.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Solana reach $75 on June 26?Won
No$4 @ 86.8¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Won
No$17 @ 68.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.4¢
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Lost
No$3 @ 65.0¢
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Won
Yes$1 @ 17.1¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$15 @ 61.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.1¢
Will XRP reach $1.10 on July 3?Lost
No$1 @ 3.0¢
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Won
Boston Red Sox$2 @ 36.0¢
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Won
No$4 @ 85.5¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$20 @ 57.0¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsLost
Cincinnati Reds$18 @ 55.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Won
No$1 @ 1.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	—	No	$20	98.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	—	No	$19	93.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	—	No	$18	92.3¢
Will Solana reach $140 in September?	—	No	$18	90.6¢
Will Solana reach $130 in September?	—	No	$17	86.5¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	—	No	$17	83.5¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?	—	No	$15	76.5¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	—	No	$15	97.2¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	—	No	$12	89.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	—	No	$12	87.8¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?	—	No	$10	95.5¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in September?	—	No	$9	94.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	—	No	$9	89.5¢
Will Solana reach $120 in September?	—	No	$8	79.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	—	No	$8	78.5¢
Will Solana reach $160 in September?	—	No	$5	97.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	—	No	$5	96.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	—	No	$4	87.0¢

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?—
No$20 @ 98.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?—
No$19 @ 93.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?—
No$18 @ 92.3¢
Will Solana reach $140 in September?—
No$18 @ 90.6¢
Will Solana reach $130 in September?—
No$17 @ 86.5¢
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?—
No$17 @ 83.5¢
Will XRP reach $1.60 in September?—
No$15 @ 76.5¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?—
No$15 @ 97.2¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?—
No$12 @ 89.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?—
No$12 @ 87.8¢
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September?—
No$10 @ 95.5¢
Will Solana dip to $70 in September?—
No$9 @ 94.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?—
No$9 @ 89.5¢
Will Solana reach $120 in September?—
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?—
No$8 @ 78.5¢
Will Solana reach $160 in September?—
No$5 @ 97.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?—
No$5 @ 96.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?—
No$4 @ 87.0¢