0x4c74…c5e3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4c745a12b44326d73a0cbc74ad2620fc6588c5e3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.2pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

56% @ 44.4¢

Brier

0.143

Resolved

259

Avg size

$38

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	68% (32/47)	+30%	47
Other	56% (18/32)	+20%	32
Sports	50% (5/10)	-88%	10

Politics47 bets
Hit rate
68% (32/47)
ROI
+30%
Other32 bets
Hit rate
56% (18/32)
ROI
+20%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
-88%

Track record

62% hit · 55/89

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$107	25.0¢	Lost
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	Yes	$19	30.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$906	77.7¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$11	3.7¢	Lost
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?	Yes	$2	46.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$1	67.0¢	Won
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	$7	35.4¢	Won
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$6	78.7¢	Won
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$172	72.3¢	Won
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$304	70.0¢	Won
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	$15	48.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	$81	22.0¢	Lost
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Won
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	Yes	$1	74.0¢	Won
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$178	55.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$20	61.2¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$1	61.0¢	Lost
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$3	73.0¢	Won
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	$56	70.6¢	Won
Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	$10	3.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$249	69.6¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$8	7.5¢	Lost
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$245	54.7¢	Won
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	No	$100	63.8¢	Lost
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$223	78.1¢	Won
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$1	35.0¢	Lost
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$89	84.0¢	Won
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$105	25.0¢	Won
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	$3	85.0¢	Won
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$6	26.9¢	Won
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?	Yes	$121	31.0¢	Lost
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$1	40.0¢	Won
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	$154	76.6¢	Won
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	$202	59.0¢	Won
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$2	67.0¢	Lost
Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	$60	34.3¢	Won
Will Burt Jones win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?	Yes	$1	41.0¢	Lost
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	$11	73.5¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$422	44.8¢	Won
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$117	75.0¢	Won
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	Yes	$9	75.3¢	Won
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	$4	8.2¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$509	34.0¢	Lost
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	$121	21.4¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$748	60.3¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$240	24.6¢	Lost
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	$376	87.4¢	Won
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Yes	$1	85.0¢	Won

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$107 @ 25.0¢
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Won
Yes$19 @ 30.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$906 @ 77.7¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.7¢
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?Lost
Yes$2 @ 46.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$1 @ 67.0¢
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Won
Yes$7 @ 35.4¢
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$6 @ 78.7¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Won
Yes$172 @ 72.3¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Won
Yes$304 @ 70.0¢
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Won
Yes$15 @ 48.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$81 @ 22.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Won
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Won
Yes$1 @ 74.0¢
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Lost
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$178 @ 55.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$20 @ 61.2¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 61.0¢
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$3 @ 73.0¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Won
Yes$56 @ 70.6¢
Will Trump's remarks not air?Lost
Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$249 @ 69.6¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?Lost
Yes$8 @ 7.5¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Won
Yes$245 @ 54.7¢
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Lost
No$100 @ 63.8¢
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$223 @ 78.1¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 35.0¢
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$89 @ 84.0¢
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
Yes$105 @ 25.0¢
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?Won
Yes$3 @ 85.0¢
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$6 @ 26.9¢
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Lost
Yes$121 @ 31.0¢
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Won
Yes$154 @ 76.6¢
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
Yes$202 @ 59.0¢
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 67.0¢
Will Everton Blair win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Won
Yes$60 @ 34.3¢
Will Burt Jones win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Won
Yes$11 @ 73.5¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$422 @ 44.8¢
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$117 @ 75.0¢
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Won
Yes$9 @ 75.3¢
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.2¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Lost
Yes$509 @ 34.0¢
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Lost
Yes$121 @ 21.4¢
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Won
Yes$748 @ 60.3¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$240 @ 24.6¢
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Won
Yes$376 @ 87.4¢
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Won
Yes$1 @ 85.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$567	11.6¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$12	0.3¢

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$567 @ 11.6¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$12 @ 0.3¢