0x4c30…2e23

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4c307aca6e48d152a1f63f8e76c2e501d81d2e23
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.2pp

ROI

+237%

Win rate

19% @ 3.6¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	5% (1/19)	+307%	19
Politics	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Sports	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Other19 bets
Hit rate
5% (1/19)
ROI
+307%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Track record

4% hit · 1/28

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	$9	2.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$4	1.6¢	Lost
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$4	1.3¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	$2	17.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	$4	5.3¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	2.2¢	Lost
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	$6	2.8¢	Lost
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	3.8¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$16	5.6¢	Won
Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	$4	2.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$3	14.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Lost
Yes$9 @ 2.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.6¢
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.3¢
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.3¢
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$16 @ 5.6¢
Netanyahu out by April 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
Trump out as President by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Lost
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2	1.1¢

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢