0x4c1e…a29e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4c1e6be37ae675931a1dbdc154a83aff55e9a29e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+9.3pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

54% @ 44.3¢

Brier

0.227

Resolved

179

Avg size

$19

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	36% (60/168)	+4%	168
Sports	20% (12/60)	-4%	60
Science	20% (1/5)	-48%	5
Politics	50% (1/2)	+76%	2

Other168 bets
Hit rate
36% (60/168)
ROI
+4%
Sports60 bets
Hit rate
20% (12/60)
ROI
-4%
Science5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-48%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+76%

Track record

31% hit · 74/235

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	$5	54.9¢	Lost
Will Reilac Shiga vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw?	Yes	$4	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	$2	10.2¢	Lost
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw?	Yes	$7	61.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 7?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Lost
Grambling State Tigers vs. Northern Illinois Huskies	Northern Illinois Huskies	$9	30.1¢	Lost
Swiss Indoors Basel: Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Yannick Hanfmann	$5	41.0¢	Lost
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	$3	23.0¢	Lost
Chennai Open, Qualification: Aliona Falei vs Rada Zolotareva	Rada Zolotareva	$3	32.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Bekzat Almakhan	$7	40.7¢	Lost
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?	Yes	$8	56.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)	Charles Johnson	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia	Henrique Rocha	$3	34.4¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	$4	13.0¢	Lost
Will FC Imabari vs. Kamatamare Sanuki end in a draw?	Yes	$11	56.0¢	Lost
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	Nuno Borges	$2	26.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	$4	25.0¢	Lost
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	$3	18.9¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs	Ugo Humbert	$1	61.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	$5	27.4¢	Lost
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	$9	55.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	$30	47.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	$5	32.0¢	Lost
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgios	Nick Kyrgios	$2	19.0¢	Lost
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	$2	36.0¢	Lost
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	$60	56.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	$5	28.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Lost
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	$10	23.6¢	Lost
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala	Alexandra Eala	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	$2	39.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	$2	2.4¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Nazim Sadykhov	$3	66.0¢	Lost
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet	Chloe Paquet	$30	47.0¢	Lost
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?	Yes	$15	56.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Piracicaba: Lucas Da Silva vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Lucas Da Silva	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5	Under	$6	46.0¢	Lost
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar	Alex Michelsen	$1	53.0¢	Lost
Will Malta win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	$1	38.0¢	Lost
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Alexandra Eala	$5	44.0¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch	Tamara Korpatsch	$50	48.0¢	Lost
Will Albirex Niigata vs. Nara Club end in a draw?	Yes	$22	52.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$5 @ 54.9¢
Will Reilac Shiga vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 10.2¢
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw?Lost
Yes$7 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
Grambling State Tigers vs. Northern Illinois HuskiesLost
Northern Illinois Huskies$9 @ 30.1¢
Swiss Indoors Basel: Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard StruffLost
Yannick Hanfmann$5 @ 41.0¢
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 23.0¢
Chennai Open, Qualification: Aliona Falei vs Rada ZolotarevaLost
Rada Zolotareva$3 @ 32.0¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?Lost
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)Lost
Bekzat Almakhan$7 @ 40.7¢
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?Lost
Yes$8 @ 56.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Charles Johnson$1 @ 26.0¢
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas MejiaLost
Henrique Rocha$3 @ 34.4¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
Will FC Imabari vs. Kamatamare Sanuki end in a draw?Lost
Yes$11 @ 56.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey RublevLost
Nuno Borges$2 @ 26.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)Lost
Deiveson Figueiredo$4 @ 25.0¢
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State ValkyriesLost
Indiana Fever$3 @ 18.9¢
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou BergsLost
Ugo Humbert$1 @ 61.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Tallison Teixeira$5 @ 27.4¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Lost
No$9 @ 55.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$30 @ 47.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 32.0¢
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick KyrgiosLost
Nick Kyrgios$2 @ 19.0¢
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda BencicLost
Belinda Bencic$2 @ 36.0¢
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-16?Lost
Yes$60 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 28.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-17?Lost
Yes$10 @ 23.6¢
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra EalaLost
Alexandra Eala$2 @ 6.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Spurs vs. JazzLost
Jazz$2 @ 39.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 2.4¢
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)Lost
Nazim Sadykhov$3 @ 66.0¢
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe PaquetLost
Chloe Paquet$30 @ 47.0¢
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 56.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Piracicaba: Lucas Da Silva vs Thiago Seyboth WildLost
Lucas Da Silva$1 @ 10.0¢
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$6 @ 46.0¢
Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Lost
No$1 @ 4.8¢
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael JodarLost
Alex Michelsen$1 @ 53.0¢
Will Malta win on 2026-06-01?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 38.0¢
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana ShnaiderLost
Alexandra Eala$5 @ 44.0¢
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 37.0¢
Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara KorpatschLost
Tamara Korpatsch$50 @ 48.0¢
Will Albirex Niigata vs. Nara Club end in a draw?Lost
Yes$22 @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	—	Yes	$150	35.9¢
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$149	78.0¢
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?	—	Yes	$100	40.0¢
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	—	Yes	$100	41.9¢
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?	—	Yes	$100	61.5¢
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-16?	—	Yes	$60	56.0¢
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries	—	Golden State Valkyries	$51	31.2¢
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?	—	Yes	$50	91.0¢
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch	—	Tamara Korpatsch	$50	48.0¢
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	—	Alexandre Pantoja	$49	42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	—	Yes	$30	47.8¢
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet	—	Chloe Paquet	$30	47.0¢
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	—	Yes	$29	28.2¢
Will Viking FK vs. IK Start end in a draw?	—	Yes	$28	25.4¢
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-15?	—	Yes	$25	66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?	—	Yes	$23	42.6¢
Will Albirex Niigata vs. Nara Club end in a draw?	—	Yes	$22	52.0¢
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Edas Butvilas	—	James Duckworth	$20	42.8¢
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?	—	Yes	$20	32.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?	—	Yes	$15	57.0¢
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?	—	Yes	$15	56.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$15	43.0¢
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?	—	Yes	$13	47.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	—	Coco Gauff	$12	63.9¢
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	—	Ajla Tomljanovic	$11	67.0¢
Will FC Imabari vs. Kamatamare Sanuki end in a draw?	—	Yes	$11	56.0¢
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm	—	Arthur Rinderknech	$10	40.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Sports	Frances Tiafoe	$10	50.0¢
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	—	Pistons	$10	70.0¢
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-17?	—	Yes	$10	23.6¢

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?—
Yes$150 @ 35.9¢
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5—
Under$149 @ 78.0¢
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?—
Yes$100 @ 40.0¢
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?—
Yes$100 @ 41.9¢
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?—
Yes$100 @ 61.5¢
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-16?—
Yes$60 @ 56.0¢
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries—
Golden State Valkyries$51 @ 31.2¢
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?—
Yes$50 @ 91.0¢
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch—
Tamara Korpatsch$50 @ 48.0¢
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)—
Alexandre Pantoja$49 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?—
Yes$30 @ 47.8¢
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet—
Chloe Paquet$30 @ 47.0¢
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?—
Yes$29 @ 28.2¢
Will Viking FK vs. IK Start end in a draw?—
Yes$28 @ 25.4¢
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-15?—
Yes$25 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?—
Yes$23 @ 42.6¢
Will Albirex Niigata vs. Nara Club end in a draw?—
Yes$22 @ 52.0¢
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Edas Butvilas—
James Duckworth$20 @ 42.8¢
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?—
Yes$20 @ 32.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?—
Yes$15 @ 57.0¢
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?—
Yes$15 @ 56.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$15 @ 43.0¢
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?—
Yes$13 @ 47.0¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina—
Coco Gauff$12 @ 63.9¢
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic—
Ajla Tomljanovic$11 @ 67.0¢
Will FC Imabari vs. Kamatamare Sanuki end in a draw?—
Yes$11 @ 56.0¢
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm—
Arthur Rinderknech$10 @ 40.0¢
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo ArnaldiSports
Frances Tiafoe$10 @ 50.0¢
Cavaliers vs. Pistons—
Pistons$10 @ 70.0¢
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-17?—
Yes$10 @ 23.6¢