0x4c08…7307

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4c082467a5240da48c5f92baabb1055e10057307
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+23.4pp

ROI

+31%

Win rate

73% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.225

Resolved

253

Avg size

$31

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (35/62)	+48%	62
Politics	50% (2/4)	-82%	4

Other62 bets
Hit rate
56% (35/62)
ROI
+48%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-82%

Track record

56% hit · 37/66

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Ethiopia" or "Uruguay" in November?	No	$157	51.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Peanut" in November?	No	$72	54.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?	No	$581	71.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?	No	$20	31.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Congress" during Address to the Nation?	No	$318	62.8¢	Won
Will Bryan Johnson say "Erection" while tripping balls?	No	$3	40.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (November 3 - 9)	Yes	$64	79.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	$11	58.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?	No	$26	51.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?	Yes	$28	55.0¢	Won
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?	No	$137	61.8¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?	No	$7	34.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?	No	$83	38.9¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?	Yes	$2	45.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?	Yes	$33	33.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	No	$60	65.0¢	Won
Will Bryan Johnson say "Illegal" or "Experiment" while tripping balls?	No	$25	5.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?	No	$271	49.6¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?	Yes	$20	53.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?	Yes	$27	63.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Weather" or "Rain" or "Raining" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	$33	34.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?	No	$14	32.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Mop" or "Mopped" in November?	No	$26	78.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Too Late" during the America Business Forum on November 5?	No	$50	43.2¢	Won
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?	No	$146	26.3¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris say "Doug" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?	No	$72	50.7¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris say "Doug" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?	Yes	$12	62.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?	No	$83	72.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?	No	$186	53.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$8	45.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?	No	$70	56.0¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	No	$73	73.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Russia Russia Russia Hoax" in October?	Yes	$134	42.4¢	Won
Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?	No	$87	33.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Jerome Too Late Powell" in October?	Yes	$87	34.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?	No	$291	48.5¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?	No	$296	42.8¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?	Yes	$39	17.6¢	Lost
Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?	No	$4	19.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?	No	$211	46.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	No	$72	65.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?	Yes	$102	51.0¢	Lost
Will Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?	No	$74	41.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?	No	$856	43.2¢	Won
Will Bryan Johnson say "Trip Balls" or "Tripping Balls" while tripping balls?	No	$149	32.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?	No	$46	25.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" in November?	No	$39	66.3¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$913	45.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	Yes	$16	65.0¢	Lost

Will Trump say "Ethiopia" or "Uruguay" in November?Lost
No$157 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "Peanut" in November?Lost
No$72 @ 54.2¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$581 @ 71.7¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?Lost
No$20 @ 31.5¢
Will Trump say "Congress" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$318 @ 62.8¢
Will Bryan Johnson say "Erection" while tripping balls?Won
No$3 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (November 3 - 9)Won
Yes$64 @ 79.2¢
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Won
No$11 @ 58.0¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Lost
No$26 @ 51.0¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Won
Yes$28 @ 55.0¢
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?Won
No$137 @ 61.8¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Bus" during his victory/concession speech?Lost
No$7 @ 34.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?Lost
No$83 @ 38.9¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Muslim" or "Islam" during his victory/concession speech?Won
Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Lost
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Won
No$60 @ 65.0¢
Will Bryan Johnson say "Illegal" or "Experiment" while tripping balls?Lost
No$25 @ 5.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?Won
No$271 @ 49.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?Lost
Yes$20 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Won
Yes$27 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump say "Weather" or "Rain" or "Raining" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Won
No$33 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump say "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Lost
No$14 @ 32.0¢
Will Trump say "Mop" or "Mopped" in November?Won
No$26 @ 78.8¢
Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Too Late" during the America Business Forum on November 5?Won
No$50 @ 43.2¢
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?Won
No$146 @ 26.3¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Doug" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?Won
No$72 @ 50.7¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Doug" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?Lost
Yes$12 @ 62.0¢
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Won
No$83 @ 72.1¢
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$186 @ 53.5¢
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?Lost
Yes$8 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$70 @ 56.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Won
No$73 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump say "Russia Russia Russia Hoax" in October?Won
Yes$134 @ 42.4¢
Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?Won
No$87 @ 33.5¢
Will Trump say "Jerome Too Late Powell" in October?Won
Yes$87 @ 34.6¢
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?Lost
No$291 @ 48.5¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?Won
No$296 @ 42.8¢
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?Lost
Yes$39 @ 17.6¢
Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?Lost
No$4 @ 19.3¢
Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?Won
No$211 @ 46.2¢
Will Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Lost
No$72 @ 65.9¢
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Lost
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?Won
No$74 @ 41.3¢
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$856 @ 43.2¢
Will Bryan Johnson say "Trip Balls" or "Tripping Balls" while tripping balls?Won
No$149 @ 32.5¢
Will Trump say "Seven Wars" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Lost
No$46 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" in November?Lost
No$39 @ 66.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$913 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Lost
Yes$16 @ 65.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$325	65.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Politics	No	$222	74.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$165	33.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$325 @ 65.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics
No$222 @ 74.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Politics
Yes$165 @ 33.0¢