← Smart money
0x4bf6…b5e6
SharpEdge
+20.8pp
ROI
+28%
Win rate
96% @ 75.5¢
Brier
0.064
Resolved
55
Avg size
$69
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 88% (15/17) | +28% | 17 |
- Other17 bets
- Hit rate
- 88% (15/17)
- ROI
- +28%
Track record
88% hit · 15/17| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strike on Iran on June 16? | Yes | $88 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8? | Yes | $9 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $100 | 64.5¢ | Won |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 15? | Yes | $178 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Steelers | $88 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 15-22? | No | $86 | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1? | No | $121 | 80.7¢ | Won |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 14? | Yes | $164 | 87.4¢ | Won |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | $714 | 63.7¢ | Won |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | Yes | $48 | 70.1¢ | Won |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | Yes | $70 | 68.6¢ | Won |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in June? | Yes | $212 | 75.1¢ | Won |
| Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 15-22? | Yes | $84 | 84.0¢ | Won |
| Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1? | No | $51 | 85.7¢ | Won |
| Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1? | Yes | $10 | 25.0¢ | Lost |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24? | Yes | $1.8k | 82.7¢ | Won |
| Iran strike on Israel before December? | Yes | $15 | 9.0¢ | Lost |
- Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 64.5¢
- Yes$178 @ 89.0¢
- Steelers$88 @ 88.0¢
- No$86 @ 86.0¢
- No$121 @ 80.7¢
- Yes$164 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$714 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$48 @ 70.1¢
- Yes$70 @ 68.6¢
- Yes$212 @ 75.1¢
- Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
- No$51 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 82.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 9.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | Geopolitics | No | $50 | 12.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Geopolitics | No | $30 | 5.3¢ |
- No$50 @ 12.0¢
- No$30 @ 5.3¢