← Smart money
0x4bf4…7021
SharpEdge
+14.5pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
61% @ 46.6¢
Brier
0.148
Resolved
275
Avg size
$16
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 53% (10/19) | +14% | 19 |
| Other | 65% (11/17) | +40% | 17 |
| Crypto | 100% (3/3) | +72% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +21% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (10/19)
- ROI
- +14%
- Other17 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (11/17)
- ROI
- +40%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +72%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +21%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
61% hit · 25/41- No$38 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$417 @ 29.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 47.0¢
- No$18 @ 48.1¢
- No$15 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$344 @ 15.1¢
- No$10 @ 84.0¢
- No$8 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 13.0¢
- No$138 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$14 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 82.5¢
- Yes$202 @ 19.3¢
- No$22 @ 88.1¢
- No$19 @ 55.5¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 63.2¢
- Yes$33 @ 40.9¢
- Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 17.0¢
- No$18 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 85.8¢
- Yes$17 @ 81.0¢
- No$45 @ 76.4¢
- Yes$53 @ 50.0¢
- No$30 @ 21.7¢
- Yes$18 @ 89.0¢
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?WonYes$116 @ 65.2¢
- Yes$173 @ 36.5¢
- No$52 @ 48.5¢
- No$16 @ 89.0¢
- No$81 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 65.4¢
- No$20 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$22 @ 9.6¢
- No$36 @ 31.4¢
- No$78 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$23 @ 5.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$1.4k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$954 @ 80.2¢
- Yes$850 @ 42.5¢
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?GeopoliticsYes$680 @ 64.0¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$500 @ 50.0¢
- No$337 @ 39.4¢
- No$280 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$214 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$145 @ 2.9¢
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$123 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$88 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$73 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$60 @ 66.1¢
- No$51 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
- No$4 @ 85.0¢