0x4bb5…dfca

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4bb5507d7f8d44a6b5732502d47ab8b3d920dfca
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+7.9pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

70% @ 61.6¢

Brier

0.200

Resolved

368

Avg size

$23

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	73% (61/84)	+6%	84
Sports	25% (1/4)	+10%	4
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other84 bets
Hit rate
73% (61/84)
ROI
+6%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+10%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

70% hit · 62/89

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 20?	No	$9	90.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 19?	No	$141	90.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 20?	Yes	$74	78.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	$74	72.9¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$37	17.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	$173	40.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	$333	66.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on July 3?	Yes	$9	13.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	$5	51.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?	No	$30	89.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 19?	No	$19	77.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	$79	61.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?	Yes	$37	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	$14	86.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?	No	$92	88.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?	Yes	$47	83.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	Yes	$145	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 3?	Yes	$33	67.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 3?	Yes	$16	27.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$235	64.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 3?	Yes	$29	71.3¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$30	14.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	$488	69.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$11	86.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	$750	85.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	$483	84.4¢	Won
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$78	86.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 11?	No	$132	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 30?	Yes	$4	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 3?	Yes	$231	85.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	$159	77.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?	Yes	$17	65.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?	Yes	$47	50.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?	Yes	$12	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	$4	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 12?	No	$42	85.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	No	$26	85.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$392	68.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	$150	57.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18?	No	$147	65.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	$64	84.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	No	$25	84.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$33	34.7¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$44	21.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	$138	66.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	$308	80.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 3?	Yes	$236	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?	Yes	$42	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	$17	66.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 4?	Yes	$8	37.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 20?Won
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 19?Won
No$141 @ 90.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 20?Won
Yes$74 @ 78.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?Won
Yes$74 @ 72.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$37 @ 17.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$173 @ 40.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?Won
Yes$333 @ 66.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on July 3?Lost
Yes$9 @ 13.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?Won
Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 11?Won
No$30 @ 89.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 19?Won
No$19 @ 77.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?Won
Yes$79 @ 61.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 13?Won
Yes$37 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 2?Won
Yes$14 @ 86.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?Won
No$92 @ 88.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?Lost
Yes$47 @ 83.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?Won
Yes$145 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 3?Lost
Yes$33 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$16 @ 27.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?Won
Yes$235 @ 64.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 3?Won
Yes$29 @ 71.3¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$30 @ 14.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?Won
Yes$488 @ 69.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?Won
Yes$11 @ 86.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$750 @ 85.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?Won
Yes$483 @ 84.4¢
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Won
No$78 @ 86.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 11?Won
No$132 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 30?Won
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$231 @ 85.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?Won
Yes$159 @ 77.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 1?Won
Yes$17 @ 65.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$47 @ 50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$12 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 12?Won
No$42 @ 85.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?Lost
No$26 @ 85.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?Won
Yes$392 @ 68.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$150 @ 57.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 18?Lost
No$147 @ 65.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?Won
Yes$64 @ 84.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?Lost
No$25 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?Won
Yes$33 @ 34.7¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$44 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?Won
Yes$138 @ 66.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?Won
Yes$308 @ 80.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 3?Won
Yes$236 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?Won
Yes$42 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28?Won
Yes$17 @ 66.3¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 4?Won
Yes$8 @ 37.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	—	No	$212	78.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 20?	—	No	$107	91.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20?	—	No	$105	82.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?	—	Yes	$91	81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?	—	No	$77	89.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 21?	—	No	$25	64.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 21?	—	No	$17	87.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?—
No$212 @ 78.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 20?—
No$107 @ 91.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20?—
No$105 @ 82.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?—
Yes$91 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?—
No$77 @ 89.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 21?—
No$25 @ 64.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 21?—
No$17 @ 87.0¢