0x4b51…6ea3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4b51c3964b39a9977d7270a2aa6b8c9f3b726ea3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.9pp

ROI

+61%

Win rate

51% @ 37.7¢

Brier

0.177

Resolved

Avg size

$24

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (8/21)	+52%	21
Sports	40% (2/5)	+45%	5
Politics	50% (1/2)	+124%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+108%	1

Other21 bets
Hit rate
38% (8/21)
ROI
+52%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+45%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+124%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+108%

Track record

41% hit · 12/29

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?	No	$34	11.0¢	Lost
FK Rostov vs. FK Rubin Kazan: O/U 2.5	Over	$4	37.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	Wildcard	$5	9.6¢	Lost
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?	No	$39	35.0¢	Lost
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?	Yes	$15	29.2¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$80	42.5¢	Won
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?	No	$6	7.4¢	Lost
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	$60	78.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	100 Thieves	$15	9.7¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	Spirit	$39	68.0¢	Won
Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	$7	35.0¢	Lost
Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	No	$889	68.0¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$14	67.0¢	Lost
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?	Yes	$9	37.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	FUT Esports	$15	40.2¢	Lost
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	$61	36.7¢	Won
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	Yes	$11	51.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	$155	31.0¢	Won
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$2	4.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	$4	2.6¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	$25	7.8¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-09-26?	No	$43	76.0¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	$4	28.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	No	$36	48.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$14	51.0¢	Lost
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	$115	59.4¢	Won
Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	No	$22	42.7¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?	No	$434	64.0¢	Won
Will Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?	No	$13	73.0¢	Won

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?Lost
No$34 @ 11.0¢
FK Rostov vs. FK Rubin Kazan: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$4 @ 37.0¢
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLost
Wildcard$5 @ 9.6¢
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?Lost
No$39 @ 35.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?Lost
Yes$15 @ 29.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$80 @ 42.5¢
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?Lost
No$6 @ 7.4¢
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?Won
Yes$60 @ 78.2¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLost
100 Thieves$15 @ 9.7¢
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierWon
Spirit$39 @ 68.0¢
Will the fight be won by submission?Lost
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?Won
No$889 @ 68.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Lost
No$14 @ 67.0¢
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?Won
Yes$9 @ 37.0¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLost
FUT Esports$15 @ 40.2¢
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Won
No$61 @ 36.7¢
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Lost
Yes$11 @ 51.0¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonWon
Team Vitality$155 @ 31.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.6¢
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$25 @ 7.8¢
Will England win on 2026-09-26?Won
No$43 @ 76.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 28.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?Won
No$36 @ 48.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$14 @ 51.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Won
No$115 @ 59.4¢
Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?Lost
No$22 @ 42.7¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?Won
No$434 @ 64.0¢
Will Qairat FK vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?Won
No$13 @ 73.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$209	17.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$205	77.5¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$163	72.1¢
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?	—	No	$39	35.0¢
Will Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?	Sports	No	$36	90.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?	—	No	$34	11.0¢
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$25	7.8¢
Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	—	No	$22	42.7¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	—	FUT Esports	$15	40.2¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?	—	Yes	$15	29.2¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$14	51.0¢
Will the fight be won by submission?	—	Yes	$7	35.0¢
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	—	Wildcard	$5	9.6¢
FK Rostov vs. FK Rubin Kazan: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$4	37.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$4	28.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4	2.6¢
Will Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?	Sports	Yes	$4	12.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$2	4.6¢

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$209 @ 17.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$205 @ 77.5¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$163 @ 72.1¢
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?—
No$39 @ 35.0¢
Will Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?Sports
No$36 @ 90.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?—
No$34 @ 11.0¢
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?Sports
Yes$25 @ 7.8¢
Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?—
No$22 @ 42.7¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier—
FUT Esports$15 @ 40.2¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?—
Yes$15 @ 29.2¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$14 @ 51.0¢
Will the fight be won by submission?—
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier—
Wildcard$5 @ 9.6¢
FK Rostov vs. FK Rubin Kazan: O/U 2.5—
Over$4 @ 37.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Sports
Yes$4 @ 28.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
Yes$4 @ 2.6¢
Will Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?Sports
Yes$4 @ 12.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$2 @ 4.6¢