0x4b48…35d0

Specialization by sphere

• Other352 bets

  Hit rate

  66% (231/352)

  ROI

  +9%

• Politics76 bets

  Hit rate

  66% (50/76)

  ROI

  +10%

• Geopolitics13 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (10/13)

  ROI

  +24%

• Sports12 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (9/12)

  ROI

  +59%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +37%

• Science1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$61 @ 67.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Won
  No$40 @ 80.1¢
• Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$41 @ 70.0¢
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 52.0¢
• Will Trump say "Transgender" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Won
  No$6 @ 60.0¢
• Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Won
  No$15 @ 72.5¢
• Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 81.0¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$8 @ 84.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?Won
  Yes$38 @ 51.1¢
• Will Brooks Koepka make the cut at the 2026 Masters?Won
  Yes$28 @ 70.0¢
• Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Won
  No$15 @ 85.6¢
• NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Won
  No$5 @ 83.0¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$82 @ 88.6¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$8 @ 81.0¢
• Will Marc Leishman have the best finish at the 2025 U.S. Open?Won
  No$11 @ 62.9¢
• Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Won
  No$27 @ 30.4¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Won
  No$14 @ 70.0¢
• Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Won
  No$9 @ 80.0¢
• Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?Won
  No$11 @ 45.2¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 36.0¢
• Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Lost
  No$8 @ 80.0¢
• Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?Won
  No$9 @ 85.1¢
• Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Lost
  No$8 @ 82.3¢
• Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Won
  Yes$17 @ 83.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
  No$13 @ 32.5¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Lost
  Yes$52 @ 87.0¢
• Will Trump say "Tariff" during ballroom dinner on October 15?Won
  Yes$7 @ 68.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$17 @ 83.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
• Will the 2026 Masters winner be a PGA Tour player?Won
  Yes$23 @ 45.0¢
• Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
  No$10 @ 54.9¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
  Yes$19 @ 68.7¢
• Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Won
  Yes$17 @ 86.0¢
• Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Won
  No$21 @ 70.0¢
• Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?Won
  No$14 @ 86.8¢
• Will Trump say "Venezuela" during announcement today?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 55.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 4.2¢
• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$6 @ 60.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$3 @ 60.0¢
• Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Won
  No$18 @ 89.5¢
• Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?Lost
  No$9 @ 44.0¢
• EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Lost
  No$5 @ 5.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$91 @ 75.8¢
• Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Won
  No$6 @ 63.0¢
• Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Lost
  Yes$45 @ 32.3¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
• Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Won
  No$6 @ 62.2¢
• Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?Won
  No$9 @ 87.0¢

Current positions

• New pandemic before 2028?Other
  No$113 @ 74.1¢
• Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?Politics
  No$82 @ 82.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$61 @ 76.0¢
• Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027?Sports
  No$60 @ 75.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$60 @ 24.0¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
  Yes$60 @ 74.6¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$59 @ 49.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics
  Yes$58 @ 29.0¢
• Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$57 @ 82.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
  Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$54 @ 36.3¢
• Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 Ukrainian Premier League?Sports
  Yes$41 @ 73.0¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
  No$32 @ 81.0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Business
  Yes$32 @ 63.0¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  No$28 @ 17.0¢
• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics
  Yes$24 @ 24.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$23 @ 77.0¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$23 @ 76.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
  Yes$19 @ 62.0¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$17 @ 84.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics
  No$16 @ 80.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$16 @ 39.0¢
• Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics
  No$15 @ 77.0¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
• Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 32.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 39.0¢