0x4b22…432d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4b225482f9e2115311b3aec23cdf081427eb432d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.5pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

89% @ 78.5¢

Brier

0.132

Resolved

146

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	87% (40/46)	+12%	46
Sports	89% (17/19)	+38%	19

Other46 bets
Hit rate
87% (40/46)
ROI
+12%
Sports19 bets
Hit rate
89% (17/19)
ROI
+38%

Track record

88% hit · 57/65

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Moldova win on 2026-10-06?	No	$5	90.0¢	Won
Albania vs. San Marino: O/U 1.5	Over	$5	92.0¢	Won
Albania vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score	No	$4	83.0¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	No	$9	91.0¢	Won
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5	Over	$4	86.0¢	Won
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	$4	85.0¢	Won
England vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5	Over	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06?	No	$10	96.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 1?	Yes	$15	76.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C or higher on January 31?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Won
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 4.5	Under	$12	81.3¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05?	No	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$85	68.3¢	Won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$3	77.0¢	Won
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?	Yes	$3	65.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?	No	$17	87.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?	Yes	$3	86.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$39	87.2¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$4	76.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5	Over	$4	89.0¢	Won
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$4	81.3¢	Won
France vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5	Over	$4	84.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	Yes	$17	84.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?	No	$18	88.3¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?	No	$36	88.9¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?	Yes	$4	76.0¢	Won
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	$10	19.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C or below on February 3?	Yes	$6	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 31?	Yes	$3	68.0¢	Won
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5	Under	$3	88.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on February 8?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Won
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?	Yes	$3	89.0¢	Won
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$3	80.0¢	Lost
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$16	85.8¢	Won
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$3	83.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?	Yes	$3	82.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 15?	Yes	$6	57.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 1.5	Over	$4	89.0¢	Won
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?	No	$10	80.8¢	Won
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?	Yes	$18	88.5¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?	Yes	$3	65.0¢	Lost
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5	Under	$3	86.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$26	87.7¢	Won
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$15	58.8¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?	Yes	$3	72.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 50°F or higher on February 2?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Won
Another US bank failure by February 28?	No	$30	85.9¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$4	79.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$13	84.7¢	Won
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	74.0¢	Won

Will Moldova win on 2026-10-06?Won
No$5 @ 90.0¢
Albania vs. San Marino: O/U 1.5Won
Over$5 @ 92.0¢
Albania vs. San Marino: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?Won
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Won
Over$4 @ 86.0¢
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Won
Over$4 @ 85.0¢
England vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5Won
Over$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06?Won
No$10 @ 96.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 1?Won
Yes$15 @ 76.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C or higher on January 31?Won
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Won
Under$12 @ 81.3¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-05?Won
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
No$85 @ 68.3¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$3 @ 77.0¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?Won
Yes$3 @ 65.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?Won
No$17 @ 87.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?Won
Yes$3 @ 86.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$39 @ 87.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?Won
Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
Netherlands vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5Won
Over$4 @ 89.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$4 @ 81.3¢
France vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Won
Over$4 @ 84.0¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Won
Yes$17 @ 84.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?Won
No$18 @ 88.3¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?Won
No$36 @ 88.9¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?Won
Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Won
Yes$10 @ 19.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C or below on February 3?Won
Yes$6 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 31?Won
Yes$3 @ 68.0¢
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Won
Under$3 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on February 8?Won
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?Won
Yes$3 @ 89.0¢
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$3 @ 80.0¢
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
No$16 @ 85.8¢
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$3 @ 83.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 15?Lost
Yes$6 @ 57.0¢
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Won
Over$4 @ 89.0¢
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?Won
No$10 @ 80.8¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Lost
Yes$18 @ 88.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?Lost
Yes$3 @ 65.0¢
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Won
Under$3 @ 86.0¢
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
No$26 @ 87.7¢
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
Yes$15 @ 58.8¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?Won
Yes$3 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 50°F or higher on February 2?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Another US bank failure by February 28?Won
No$30 @ 85.9¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$13 @ 84.7¢
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
Yes$11 @ 74.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	No	$120	95.8¢
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	No	$92	92.3¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$64	86.0¢
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Politics	No	$57	87.3¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?	Politics	No	$39	97.1¢
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?	Economy	No	$19	95.8¢
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	Yes	$16	53.6¢
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	No	$13	89.7¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	No	$13	88.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$10	95.4¢
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	Economy	No	$9	90.0¢
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	No	$9	88.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$9	86.0¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$8	83.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$7	70.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	Politics	No	$4	84.0¢

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
No$120 @ 95.8¢
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
No$92 @ 92.3¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$64 @ 86.0¢
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Politics
No$57 @ 87.3¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?Politics
No$39 @ 97.1¢
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?Economy
No$19 @ 95.8¢
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
Yes$16 @ 53.6¢
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
No$13 @ 89.7¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
No$13 @ 88.7¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$10 @ 95.4¢
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?Economy
No$9 @ 90.0¢
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
No$9 @ 88.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$9 @ 86.0¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$7 @ 70.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Politics
No$4 @ 84.0¢