0x4b1b…62c1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4b1b87c2190176ff8072c63060cfea2e1ae862c1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.3pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

60% @ 51.4¢

Brier

0.189

Resolved

683

Avg size

$93

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (92/155)	+15%	155
Sports	56% (10/18)	-13%	18
Tech	50% (2/4)	-40%	4
Crypto	75% (3/4)	+29%	4
Politics	100% (2/2)	+44%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+28%	1
Business	100% (1/1)	+96%	1

Other155 bets
Hit rate
59% (92/155)
ROI
+15%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
ROI
-13%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-40%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+29%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+44%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+96%

Track record

60% hit · 111/185

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?	No	$174	87.0¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	$134	87.0¢	Won
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$142	71.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	Yes	$88	88.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$194	67.0¢	Won
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	Arizona Wildcats	$132	33.0¢	Lost
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?	Yes	$88	87.6¢	Won
Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5	Under	$15	66.9¢	Won
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5	Under	$86	86.0¢	Won
Will Notre Dame make the CFP National Championship Game?	No	$110	44.0¢	Lost
Will Berachain's FDV be less than $3b 1 day after launch?	No	$77	77.0¢	Won
Will Mike Evans reach 1,000 receiving yards this season?	Yes	$39	77.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$301	75.2¢	Won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$88	14.6¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	$1.0k	68.0¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	$800	80.0¢	Lost
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?	No	$154	77.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Israel Adesanya	$57	57.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?	Yes	$21	29.3¢	Lost
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-15.5)	Connecticut Huskies	$4	83.0¢	Won
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5	Yes	$38	75.0¢	Lost
Big Game: Octopus?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Lost
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	$102	51.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$918	76.5¢	Won
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?	No	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$60	47.0¢	Won
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5	Over	$19	69.1¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$579	28.9¢	Lost
Yoon arrested by January 31?	No	$138	55.0¢	Lost
Yoon arrested by January 31?	Yes	$215	43.0¢	Won
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	$618	82.3¢	Won
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Lost
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?	No	$380	76.0¢	Won
Will OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?	Yes	$94	56.9¢	Won
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Lost
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	Canada	$201	67.0¢	Won
Rams vs. Panthers	Rams	$1.2k	81.3¢	Won
Scorigami in NFL Week 18?	No	$100	79.8¢	Won
Scorigami in NFL Week 18?	Yes	$30	60.4¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?	No	$297	85.0¢	Won
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Broncos	Patriots	$3.9k	65.0¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January?	Yes	$53	86.0¢	Won
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines	Michigan Wolverines	$4.7k	73.0¢	Won
Eagles vs. Bears	Eagles	$288	64.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	No	$85	85.0¢	Won
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals	Louisville Cardinals	$1.3k	66.0¢	Won
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 130.5	Under	$110	88.0¢	Won
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$860	86.0¢	Won
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?	Yes	$264	88.0¢	Won

Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Lost
No$174 @ 87.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Won
Knicks$134 @ 87.0¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$142 @ 71.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Won
Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$194 @ 67.0¢
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Arizona Wildcats$132 @ 33.0¢
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Won
Yes$88 @ 87.6¢
Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5Won
Under$15 @ 66.9¢
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Won
Under$86 @ 86.0¢
Will Notre Dame make the CFP National Championship Game?Lost
No$110 @ 44.0¢
Will Berachain's FDV be less than $3b 1 day after launch?Won
No$77 @ 77.0¢
Will Mike Evans reach 1,000 receiving yards this season?Won
Yes$39 @ 77.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
No$301 @ 75.2¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$88 @ 14.6¢
Knicks vs. SpursLost
Spurs$1.0k @ 68.0¢
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super KingsLost
Chennai Super Kings$800 @ 80.0¢
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?Won
No$154 @ 77.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
Israel Adesanya$57 @ 57.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Lost
Yes$21 @ 29.3¢
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-15.5)Won
Connecticut Huskies$4 @ 83.0¢
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5Lost
Yes$38 @ 75.0¢
Big Game: Octopus?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Won
No$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
Yes$918 @ 76.5¢
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?Won
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$60 @ 47.0¢
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Lost
Over$19 @ 69.1¢
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$579 @ 28.9¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Lost
No$138 @ 55.0¢
Yoon arrested by January 31?Won
Yes$215 @ 43.0¢
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?Won
Yes$618 @ 82.3¢
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Lost
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Won
No$380 @ 76.0¢
Will OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?Won
Yes$94 @ 56.9¢
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Lost
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceWon
Canada$201 @ 67.0¢
Rams vs. PanthersWon
Rams$1.2k @ 81.3¢
Scorigami in NFL Week 18?Won
No$100 @ 79.8¢
Scorigami in NFL Week 18?Lost
Yes$30 @ 60.4¢
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?Won
No$297 @ 85.0¢
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Patriots vs. BroncosWon
Patriots$3.9k @ 65.0¢
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of January?Won
Yes$53 @ 86.0¢
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan WolverinesWon
Michigan Wolverines$4.7k @ 73.0¢
Eagles vs. BearsLost
Eagles$288 @ 64.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Won
No$85 @ 85.0¢
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsWon
Louisville Cardinals$1.3k @ 66.0¢
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 130.5Won
Under$110 @ 88.0¢
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan RoyalsWon
Sunrisers Hyderabad$860 @ 86.0¢
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Won
Yes$264 @ 88.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Crypto	No	$591	65.7¢
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	Tech	Yes	$316	64.1¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$170	85.0¢
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$130	18.9¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$127	63.5¢
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Tech	No	$59	59.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$54	53.3¢
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Tech	No	$41	58.5¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tech	No	$34	68.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$14	29.0¢

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
No$591 @ 65.7¢
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Tech
Yes$316 @ 64.1¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$170 @ 85.0¢
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics
Yes$130 @ 18.9¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$127 @ 63.5¢
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Tech
No$59 @ 59.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$54 @ 53.3¢
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech
No$41 @ 58.5¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
No$34 @ 68.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
Yes$14 @ 29.0¢