0x4ae5…f51d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4ae56a271fe5117c6167a71c54a0f9d806f1f51d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.4pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

44% @ 38.1¢

Brier

0.194

Resolved

570

Avg size

$113

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (117/228)	+15%	228
Sports	63% (34/54)	+12%	54
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+30%	1

Other228 bets
Hit rate
51% (117/228)
ROI
+15%
Sports54 bets
Hit rate
63% (34/54)
ROI
+12%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+30%

Track record

54% hit · 152/283

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$264	66.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$153	51.0¢	Lost
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$180	45.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$268	67.0¢	Won
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$184	46.0¢	Lost
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$272	68.0¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$231	77.0¢	Won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)	Fnatic	$39	4.3¢	Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)	Movistar KOI	$100	64.0¢	Won
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?	Yes	$106	53.0¢	Won
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?	Yes	$88	44.0¢	Won
Will Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?	Yes	$102	34.0¢	Lost
Will St Mirren FC win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	$293	59.0¢	Lost
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?	Yes	$390	39.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$168	56.0¢	Lost
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$157	51.0¢	Won
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	$200	64.0¢	Won
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?	Yes	$268	44.0¢	Lost
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	$169	55.0¢	Lost
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$453	75.0¢	Lost
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$581	72.0¢	Won
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	$62	31.0¢	Lost
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?	Yes	$410	41.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	$160	52.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?	Yes	$649	66.6¢	Won
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)	Top Esports	$102	51.0¢	Won
Will Levante UD vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	$62	31.0¢	Lost
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)	FlyQuest	$131	8.5¢	Lost
Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	$17	0.1¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?	Yes	$100	33.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$306	76.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	$170	27.0¢	Won
Will Kayserispor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?	Yes	$300	30.0¢	Won
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?	Yes	$200	41.2¢	Lost
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?	Yes	$83	44.0¢	Lost
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-29?	Yes	$68	34.0¢	Lost
Will Italy win on 2025-10-14?	Yes	$208	83.0¢	Won
Will Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?	Yes	$57	28.4¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)	Movistar KOI	$50	12.0¢	Lost
Will Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$62	30.0¢	Lost
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?	Yes	$24	10.0¢	Won
Will Andorra win on 2025-10-14?	Yes	$28	4.5¢	Lost
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$262	43.0¢	Won
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	$210	42.0¢	Won
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?	Yes	$118	59.0¢	Lost
Will USL Dunkerque win on 2025-12-12?	Yes	$48	41.0¢	Won
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	$112	56.0¢	Lost
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	$120	40.0¢	Won

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$264 @ 66.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Lost
Yes$153 @ 51.0¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$180 @ 45.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$268 @ 67.0¢
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-24?Lost
Yes$184 @ 46.0¢
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$272 @ 68.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$231 @ 77.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)Lost
Fnatic$39 @ 4.3¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)Won
Movistar KOI$100 @ 64.0¢
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?Won
Yes$106 @ 53.0¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?Won
Yes$88 @ 44.0¢
Will Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 34.0¢
Will St Mirren FC win on 2025-12-27?Lost
Yes$293 @ 59.0¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?Lost
Yes$390 @ 39.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?Lost
Yes$168 @ 56.0¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$157 @ 51.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerWon
KT Rolster$200 @ 64.0¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?Lost
Yes$268 @ 44.0¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?Lost
Yes$169 @ 55.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$453 @ 75.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?Won
Yes$581 @ 72.0¢
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?Lost
Yes$62 @ 31.0¢
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?Lost
Yes$410 @ 41.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?Won
Yes$160 @ 52.0¢
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?Won
Yes$649 @ 66.6¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Won
Top Esports$102 @ 51.0¢
Will Levante UD vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?Lost
Yes$62 @ 31.0¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)Lost
FlyQuest$131 @ 8.5¢
Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.1¢
Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?Won
Yes$100 @ 33.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?Lost
Yes$306 @ 76.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?Won
No$170 @ 27.0¢
Will Kayserispor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?Won
Yes$300 @ 30.0¢
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?Lost
Yes$200 @ 41.2¢
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?Lost
Yes$83 @ 44.0¢
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-29?Lost
Yes$68 @ 34.0¢
Will Italy win on 2025-10-14?Won
Yes$208 @ 83.0¢
Will Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$57 @ 28.4¢
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)Lost
Movistar KOI$50 @ 12.0¢
Will Romania vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Lost
Yes$62 @ 30.0¢
Will Phil Laak win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Kosovo win on 2025-10-13?Won
Yes$24 @ 10.0¢
Will Andorra win on 2025-10-14?Lost
Yes$28 @ 4.5¢
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19?Won
Yes$262 @ 43.0¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?Won
Yes$210 @ 42.0¢
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?Lost
Yes$118 @ 59.0¢
Will USL Dunkerque win on 2025-12-12?Won
Yes$48 @ 41.0¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?Lost
Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?Won
Yes$120 @ 40.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$272	68.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$268	67.0¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$264	66.0¢
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$184	46.0¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$180	45.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Sports	Yes	$153	51.0¢

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$272 @ 68.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$268 @ 67.0¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$264 @ 66.0¢
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$184 @ 46.0¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$180 @ 45.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?Sports
Yes$153 @ 51.0¢