← Smart money
0x4a81…12e1
ProfitableEdge
+15.9pp
ROI
+72%
Win rate
57% @ 41.5¢
Brier
0.194
Resolved
47
Avg size
$31
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 54% (7/13) | +83% | 13 |
| Other | 89% (8/9) | +43% | 9 |
| Tech | 60% (3/5) | +34% | 5 |
| Politics | 60% (3/5) | -22% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -35% | 2 |
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (7/13)
- ROI
- +83%
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 89% (8/9)
- ROI
- +43%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +34%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- -22%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -35%
Track record
65% hit · 22/34- Over$9 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
- No$10 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$130 @ 16.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 11.3¢
- No$10 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
- No$10 @ 59.7¢
- No$10 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 13.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 62.0¢
- No$10 @ 77.1¢
- Yes$825 @ 71.0¢
- No$10 @ 74.0¢
- No$10 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$11 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
- No$5 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.8¢
- No$10 @ 45.0¢
- No$10 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
- No$20 @ 88.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 69.0¢
- No$20 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 46.0¢
- No$5 @ 64.0¢
- No$10 @ 87.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$1.4k @ 40.7¢
- Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$421 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 81.0¢
- No$54 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 83.0¢
- No$39 @ 88.3¢
- No$30 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 39.0¢
- Over$25 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 60.0¢
- No$20 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 64.0¢
- No$19 @ 94.6¢
- Yes$17 @ 56.0¢
- No$16 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 74.0¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$13 @ 81.0¢
- No$12 @ 90.5¢
- No$10 @ 82.0¢
- No$10 @ 79.0¢
- No$10 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 92.6¢
- No$8 @ 79.0¢