← Smart money
0x4a5c…321d
SharpEdge
+35.0pp
ROI
+72%
Win rate
77% @ 42.5¢
Brier
0.212
Resolved
71
Avg size
$27
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (4/8) | +53% | 8 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +23% | 2 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- +53%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +23%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
45% hit · 5/11| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? | Yes | $3 | 1.8¢ | Lost |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? | Yes | $334 | 9.7¢ | Lost |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? | Yes | $137 | 4.7¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | $906 | 78.3¢ | Won |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? | Yes | $141 | 6.7¢ | Lost |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? | Yes | $199 | 33.2¢ | Won |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in June? | Yes | $46 | 9.1¢ | Lost |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | Yes | $104 | 16.0¢ | Won |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June? | Yes | $360 | 59.7¢ | Won |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? | Yes | $113 | 40.4¢ | Won |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | $34 | 68.0¢ | Lost |
- Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$334 @ 9.7¢
- Yes$137 @ 4.7¢
- No$906 @ 78.3¢
- Yes$141 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$199 @ 33.2¢
- Yes$46 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$104 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$360 @ 59.7¢
- Yes$113 @ 40.4¢
- No$34 @ 68.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $731 | 62.5¢ |
- Yes$731 @ 62.5¢