0x4a0c…0852

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4a0c255e36d15cfc0044e7619ba0adac4f070852
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.2pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

71% @ 62.9¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

883

Avg size

$60

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	64% (328/511)	+7%	511
Sports	54% (22/41)	-11%	41

Other511 bets
Hit rate
64% (328/511)
ROI
+7%
Sports41 bets
Hit rate
54% (22/41)
ROI
-11%

Track record

63% hit · 350/552

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	$10	71.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$2	53.0¢	Lost
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	Under	$100	81.0¢	Lost
Spread: United States (-1.5)	Paraguay	$100	79.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	$48	58.0¢	Lost
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?	Yes	$2	70.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	$1	31.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	$38	63.4¢	Lost
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$4	43.0¢	Lost
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$12	62.0¢	Lost
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	$2	58.0¢	Lost
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?	Yes	$5	32.0¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?	Yes	$1	40.0¢	Lost
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	$3	66.0¢	Lost
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Over	$42	73.0¢	Lost
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	$10	49.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	$46	70.0¢	Lost
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	Sporting CP	$104	72.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	$32	93.0¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 10AM ET	Down	$30	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	$40	50.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ET	Up	$30	50.0¢	Lost
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Over	$300	58.0¢	Won
Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5	Over	$65	64.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	Passion UA	$136	35.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Spirit	$25	25.0¢	Lost
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	$210	70.0¢	Won
Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$50	69.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$39	52.0¢	Won
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	Over	$530	53.0¢	Lost
FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Over	$63	63.0¢	Lost
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Weibo Gaming	$362	20.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$10	62.0¢	Lost
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$70	84.0¢	Won
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)	Spurs	$129	56.0¢	Won
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5	Over	$20	64.7¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	$107	73.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5	Over	$10	52.0¢	Lost
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$497	66.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage	ASTRAL	$298	53.0¢	Lost
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5	Over	$36	67.0¢	Won
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)	Raptors	$10	50.0¢	Won
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5	Over	$70	70.0¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	$1	75.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5	Over	$100	77.0¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	$100	67.0¢	Won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	$51	79.0¢	Won
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	No	$33	65.0¢	Lost
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$52	52.0¢	Won

Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Lost
FK Bodø/Glimt$10 @ 71.0¢
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$2 @ 53.0¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$100 @ 81.0¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)Lost
Paraguay$100 @ 79.0¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total CornersLost
Over$48 @ 58.0¢
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?Lost
Yes$2 @ 70.0¢
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?Lost
Yes$38 @ 63.4¢
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$12 @ 62.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Lost
Netherlands$2 @ 58.0¢
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?Lost
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$3 @ 66.0¢
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$42 @ 73.0¢
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?Lost
Yes$46 @ 70.0¢
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Lost
Sporting CP$104 @ 72.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerLost
Gen.G$32 @ 93.0¢
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 10AM ETLost
Down$30 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETLost
Down$40 @ 50.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 9AM ETLost
Up$30 @ 50.0¢
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Won
Over$300 @ 58.0¢
Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$65 @ 64.4¢
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Lost
Passion UA$136 @ 35.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsLost
Spirit$25 @ 25.0¢
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Won
FK Bodø/Glimt$210 @ 70.0¢
Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$50 @ 69.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$39 @ 52.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$530 @ 53.0¢
FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$63 @ 63.0¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsWon
Weibo Gaming$362 @ 20.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$10 @ 62.0¢
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Won
Paris Saint-Germain FC$70 @ 84.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Won
Spurs$129 @ 56.0¢
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Lost
Over$20 @ 64.7¢
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Won
Over$107 @ 73.0¢
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Lost
Over$10 @ 52.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$497 @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group StageLost
ASTRAL$298 @ 53.0¢
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Won
Over$36 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Won
Raptors$10 @ 50.0¢
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Won
Over$70 @ 70.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$100 @ 77.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Won
Over$100 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Won
Paris Saint-Germain FC$51 @ 79.0¢
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$33 @ 65.0¢
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$52 @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	—	PARIVISION	$1.8k	76.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$700	68.9¢
Magic vs. Lakers	—	Lakers	$696	65.0¢
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$600	71.6¢
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$530	53.0¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-26?	—	Yes	$450	65.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$403	64.0¢
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs	—	All Gamers	$357	20.0¢
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$300	58.0¢
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage	—	ASTRAL	$298	53.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs	—	Movistar KOI	$288	39.0¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage	—	T1	$274	44.0¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs	—	KT Rolster Challengers	$245	60.0¢
1. FC Magdeburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$200	68.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$200	67.0¢
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$150	75.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$150	49.0¢
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs	—	EYEBALLERS	$144	57.0¢
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	—	Passion UA	$136	35.0¢
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$135	85.0¢
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO5) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffs	—	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	$128	72.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	Yes	$126	69.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$122	61.0¢
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$120	63.0¢
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs	—	Lupus Esports	$118	12.1¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?	—	Yes	$117	65.7¢
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	—	Sporting CP	$104	72.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	—	Manchester City FC	$101	69.0¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)	Sports	Paraguay	$100	79.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$100	77.5¢

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1—
PARIVISION$1.8k @ 76.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5—
Over$700 @ 68.9¢
Magic vs. Lakers—
Lakers$696 @ 65.0¢
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$600 @ 71.6¢
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5—
Over$530 @ 53.0¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-26?—
Yes$450 @ 65.0¢
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5—
Over$403 @ 64.0¢
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs—
All Gamers$357 @ 20.0¢
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5—
Over$300 @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage—
ASTRAL$298 @ 53.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs—
Movistar KOI$288 @ 39.0¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage—
T1$274 @ 44.0¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs—
KT Rolster Challengers$245 @ 60.0¢
1. FC Magdeburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5—
Over$200 @ 68.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$200 @ 67.0¢
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5—
Over$150 @ 75.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5—
Under$150 @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs—
EYEBALLERS$144 @ 57.0¢
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1—
Passion UA$136 @ 35.0¢
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5—
Over$135 @ 85.0¢
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO5) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffs—
THUNDER dOWNUNDER$128 @ 72.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports
Yes$126 @ 69.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$122 @ 61.0¢
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$120 @ 63.0¢
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs—
Lupus Esports$118 @ 12.1¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?—
Yes$117 @ 65.7¢
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)—
Sporting CP$104 @ 72.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)—
Manchester City FC$101 @ 69.0¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)Sports
Paraguay$100 @ 79.0¢
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5—
Over$100 @ 77.5¢