0x49c4…db5b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x49c4a535912cfec7e90b33672771a7d6ba98db5b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.1pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

47% @ 40.6¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

473

Avg size

$11

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	36% (42/117)	-5%	117
Other	57% (51/90)	+18%	90
Sports	52% (38/73)	+3%	73
Crypto	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Politics	33% (2/6)	+1%	6

Science117 bets
Hit rate
36% (42/117)
ROI
-5%
Other90 bets
Hit rate
57% (51/90)
ROI
+18%
Sports73 bets
Hit rate
52% (38/73)
ROI
+3%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+1%

Track record

45% hit · 133/293

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	No	$19	46.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	9z	$61	48.8¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	PARIVISION	$10	57.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	No	$31	44.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?	Yes	$21	3.4¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	$8	39.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 24?	No	$8	50.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Monte	$20	25.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	$20	63.0¢	Lost
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner	RED Canids	$23	60.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?	No	$35	35.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on June 16?	Yes	$16	1.7¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	$41	31.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 21?	No	$31	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 22?	No	$11	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 14?	Yes	$11	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?	No	$29	37.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?	No	$46	43.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11?	No	$20	60.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?	Yes	$27	6.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	$13	4.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner	PARIVISION	$41	2.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	TDK	$18	65.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 16?	No	$21	43.8¢	Won
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Team Refuser	$28	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	$18	6.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?	No	$21	46.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	No	$20	55.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12?	No	$20	60.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	No	$15	39.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	No	$15	45.0¢	Lost
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles	Seattle Mariners	$42	51.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner	Team Heretics Academy	$43	61.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?	No	$0	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?	No	$13	23.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$25	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?	Yes	$16	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?	No	$31	47.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	9z	$20	64.0¢	Won
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner	Solary	$20	80.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	No	$15	59.3¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	$18	28.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	BetBoom Team	$20	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?	No	$31	47.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22?	No	$19	49.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?	No	$21	50.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11?	No	$31	52.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?	No	$46	34.9¢	Won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5	Over	$20	50.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?	No	$10	58.3¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?Won
No$19 @ 46.2¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
9z$61 @ 48.8¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
PARIVISION$10 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?Won
No$31 @ 44.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14?Lost
Yes$21 @ 3.4¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Top Esports$8 @ 39.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 24?Won
No$8 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
Monte$20 @ 25.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerLost
TheMongolz$20 @ 63.0¢
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLost
RED Canids$23 @ 60.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?Lost
No$35 @ 35.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on June 16?Lost
Yes$16 @ 1.7¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5Won
Over$41 @ 31.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 21?Lost
No$31 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 22?Won
No$11 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 14?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 17?Lost
No$29 @ 37.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?Won
No$46 @ 43.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11?Won
No$20 @ 60.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$27 @ 6.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?Lost
Yes$13 @ 4.1¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerLost
PARIVISION$41 @ 2.0¢
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsWon
TDK$18 @ 65.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 16?Won
No$21 @ 43.8¢
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Team Refuser$28 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12?Lost
Yes$18 @ 6.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?Lost
No$21 @ 46.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?Won
No$20 @ 55.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12?Won
No$20 @ 60.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?Won
No$15 @ 39.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?Lost
No$15 @ 45.0¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesLost
Seattle Mariners$42 @ 51.0¢
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 WinnerLost
Team Heretics Academy$43 @ 61.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?Won
No$0 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?Lost
No$13 @ 23.3¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$25 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on June 21?Lost
Yes$16 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?Won
No$31 @ 47.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerWon
9z$20 @ 64.0¢
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 WinnerWon
Solary$20 @ 80.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?Won
No$15 @ 59.3¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5Won
Under$18 @ 28.0¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
BetBoom Team$20 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?Lost
No$31 @ 47.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22?Won
No$19 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?Lost
No$21 @ 50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11?Lost
No$31 @ 52.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?Won
No$46 @ 34.9¢
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Won
Over$20 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 23?Lost
No$10 @ 58.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 25?	—	No	$60	52.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?	—	No	$59	56.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?	—	No	$46	57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 25?	—	No	$45	50.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	—	No	$45	56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 25?	—	No	$45	58.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?	—	No	$45	55.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?	—	No	$32	52.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	59.3¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	—	No	$30	54.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	58.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	51.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	55.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	50.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 25?	—	No	$30	43.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	60.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	53.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	50.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	57.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	51.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?	—	No	$30	40.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 25?	—	No	$30	51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?	—	No	$30	49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?	—	No	$30	47.5¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$25	9.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?	—	No	$23	53.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?	—	No	$23	56.9¢
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 25?	—	No	$16	4.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 25?	—	No	$15	53.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on June 25?	—	No	$15	61.8¢

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 25?—
No$60 @ 52.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?—
No$59 @ 56.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?—
No$46 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 25?—
No$45 @ 50.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?—
No$45 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 25?—
No$45 @ 58.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?—
No$45 @ 55.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?—
No$32 @ 52.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 59.3¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?—
No$30 @ 54.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 58.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 51.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 55.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 50.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 25?—
No$30 @ 43.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 60.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 53.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 50.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 57.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 51.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?—
No$30 @ 40.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 25?—
No$30 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?—
No$30 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 25?—
No$30 @ 47.5¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$25 @ 9.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?—
No$23 @ 53.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 25?—
No$23 @ 56.9¢
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 25?—
No$16 @ 4.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 25?—
No$15 @ 53.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on June 25?—
No$15 @ 61.8¢