← Smart money
0x49c4…bf77
SharpEdge
+7.2pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
66% @ 59.2¢
Brier
0.158
Resolved
2733
Avg size
$71
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 74% (142/191) | -9% | 191 |
| Sports | 70% (121/172) | +37% | 172 |
| Crypto | 67% (6/9) | -18% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 80% (4/5) | -67% | 5 |
| Politics | 100% (2/2) | +32% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other191 bets
- Hit rate
- 74% (142/191)
- ROI
- -9%
- Sports172 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (121/172)
- ROI
- +37%
- Crypto9 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (6/9)
- ROI
- -18%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- -67%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +32%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
72% hit · 275/380- Yes$1.4k @ 76.8¢
- No$594 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$45 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$108 @ 15.0¢
- No$89 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 72.0¢
- No$519 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$204 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$90 @ 89.0¢
- No$17 @ 87.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 77.7¢
- No$23 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 66.1¢
- No$22 @ 74.6¢
- Yes$149 @ 86.6¢
- Yes$8 @ 80.0¢
- No$239 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 82.4¢
- No$50 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 41.7¢
- Yes$114 @ 85.8¢
- Yes$364 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$507 @ 72.4¢
- No$227 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$402 @ 65.1¢
- Yes$129 @ 68.4¢
- No$682 @ 60.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
- No$20 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 67.4¢
- No$69 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 82.0¢
- No$850 @ 72.8¢
- Yes$29 @ 53.7¢
- No$94 @ 47.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 83.0¢
- No$5 @ 84.0¢
- No$82 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$117 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$241 @ 66.5¢
- Yes$289 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
- No$22 @ 72.0¢
- No$707 @ 81.2¢
- No$77 @ 78.5¢
- No$179 @ 89.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$10.5k @ 88.9¢
- No$4.5k @ 84.3¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 49.4¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$3.4k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 85.3¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 85.7¢
- No$1.8k @ 68.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 82.8¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 71.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 80.7¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 52.7¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 46.9¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 55.1¢
- No$1.3k @ 95.3¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 52.7¢
- No$1.2k @ 91.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 14.4¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 13.8¢
- No$1.0k @ 41.7¢
- Yes$962 @ 70.3¢
- Yes$951 @ 86.5¢
- No$951 @ 88.5¢
- Yes$950 @ 61.8¢
- No$891 @ 87.7¢
- No$891 @ 85.4¢
- Yes$806 @ 88.5¢
- Yes$797 @ 29.9¢
- Yes$786 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$777 @ 74.6¢