0x49b6…170c

Specialization by sphere

• Other937 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (451/937)

  ROI

  +4%

• Politics28 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (21/28)

  ROI

  +48%

• Sports26 bets

  Hit rate

  42% (11/26)

  ROI

  +77%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  +9%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +60%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +108%

• Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Won
  No$1 @ 12.0¢
• Will Tucker say "nuclear" 3 or more times during Lavrov interview?Won
  Yes$12 @ 54.0¢
• Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during Meloni visit on April 17?Won
  No$17 @ 16.1¢
• Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Won
  Yes$1.7k @ 54.2¢
• Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$174 @ 10.1¢
• Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
  Yes$435 @ 46.7¢
• Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Karman ThandiWon
  Harmony Tan$1.7k @ 86.0¢
• Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?Won
  No$12 @ 58.0¢
• Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$326 @ 10.7¢
• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
  No$5.5k @ 44.8¢
• Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate?Lost
  No$534 @ 48.7¢
• Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?Won
  Yes$83 @ 55.0¢
• Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 10?Lost
  Yes$211 @ 3.5¢
• Euro Finals pitch invader?Lost
  Yes$73 @ 31.0¢
• Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 69.9¢
• Will Elliot Anderson be in England's Starting 11?Lost
  No$17 @ 3.5¢
• Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?Won
  Yes$423 @ 5.0¢
• Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik SinnerLost
  Cerundolo$14 @ 1.4¢
• Will Australia win Eurovision 2024?Lost
  Yes$51 @ 2.1¢
• Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Lost
  No$503 @ 17.0¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% in April?Won
  No$3 @ 5.0¢
• Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?Won
  No$741 @ 66.0¢
• Will Emiliano Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Lost
  No$34 @ 10.7¢
• Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?Lost
  Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
• Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Lost
  Yes$244 @ 48.8¢
• Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?Won
  No$282 @ 50.9¢
• Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
  Yes$977 @ 86.6¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
  No$304 @ 7.2¢
• Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?Won
  No$37 @ 23.0¢
• Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?Lost
  No$246 @ 66.3¢
• American aid to Israel by Dec 31?Won
  No$44 @ 88.0¢
• American aid to Israel by Dec 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 69.0¢
• Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
  Yes$927 @ 53.8¢
• Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?Lost
  Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
• CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Won
  Yes$848 @ 77.4¢
• ETH above $4,000 next Friday?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 60.0¢
• Will Arizona be Trump's worst state on March 19?Lost
  No$17 @ 19.6¢
• Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?Won
  Yes$276 @ 4.6¢
• Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?Won
  Yes$147 @ 78.0¢
• Metepec: Alafia Ayeni vs Rodrigo PachecoLost
  Ayeni$228 @ 32.9¢
• Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?Won
  Yes$92 @ 46.0¢
• Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?Won
  Yes$18 @ 44.8¢
• Will Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" during Australia PM events on October 20?Won
  Yes$578 @ 78.6¢
• OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?Won
  Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
• Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Lost
  No$361 @ 9.5¢
• Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?Won
  No$123 @ 55.0¢
• Will Sweden join NATO by December 31?Lost
  Yes$422 @ 34.2¢
• Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?Lost
  Yes$297 @ 72.5¢
• Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 2 CA Osasuna?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 16.0¢
• Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?Lost
  No$0 @ 0.1¢

Current positions

• Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture
  Yes$14.2k @ 83.8¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$8.5k @ 24.2¢
• Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?Politics
  No$6.9k @ 92.0¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Culture
  No$5.7k @ 92.7¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5.3k @ 68.9¢
• Government shutdown by October 1?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 99.0¢
• José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Politics
  No$4.2k @ 88.8¢
• Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics
  Yes$4.1k @ 67.5¢
• Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech
  No$1.4k @ 85.1¢
• Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?Culture
  No$770 @ 79.6¢
• Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?Crypto
  No$616 @ 89.0¢
• Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027?Culture
  No$567 @ 80.8¢
• SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Economy
  Yes$530 @ 33.0¢
• Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?Politics
  No$509 @ 99.0¢
• Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
  No$241 @ 95.2¢
• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?—
  Yes$145 @ 75.8¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
  Yes$106 @ 19.9¢
• Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics
  Yes$84 @ 9.9¢
• Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Politics
  No$77 @ 51.6¢
• San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to ScoreSports
  No$50 @ 71.6¢
• Will Austria participate in Eurovision 2027?Culture
  Yes$31 @ 79.2¢