0x49a9…82b9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x49a94f54311127f1a30a0c609221d3da93f082b9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+4.4pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

40% @ 35.2¢

Brier

0.228

Resolved

814

Avg size

$124

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (55/148)	+19%	148
Politics	54% (7/13)	-6%	13
Sports	50% (6/12)	+17%	12
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+42%	3
Tech	100% (1/1)	+35%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+115%	1

Other148 bets
Hit rate
37% (55/148)
ROI
+19%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
ROI
-6%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
+17%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+42%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+35%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+115%

Track record

40% hit · 72/178

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$30	35.0¢	Lost
Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$40	57.0¢	Lost
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5	Over	$252	63.0¢	Lost
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5	Over	$48	40.0¢	Lost
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-09-05?	No	$527	85.0¢	Lost
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$18	19.9¢	Lost
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5	Over	$48	30.0¢	Lost
Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5	Over	$1.2k	64.3¢	Lost
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$203	55.0¢	Lost
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$12	31.0¢	Lost
Club Brugge vs. Cercle Brugge: O/U 1.5	Over	$50	67.0¢	Lost
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-08-23?	No	$891	83.0¢	Lost
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$50	65.0¢	Lost
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$14	35.0¢	Lost
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5	Over	$34	65.0¢	Lost
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	$31	57.0¢	Lost
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5	Over	$890	80.0¢	Lost
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$27	53.0¢	Lost
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5	Over	$34	57.0¢	Lost
Çorum FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5	Over	$25	62.0¢	Lost
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5	Over	$1.5k	71.0¢	Lost
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5	Over	$25	59.0¢	Lost
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5	Over	$1.1k	80.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$17	48.0¢	Lost
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5	Over	$14	58.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$66	58.0¢	Lost
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 0.5	Over	$19	57.0¢	Lost
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.5	Over	$20	65.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	$300	71.0¢	Lost
Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$8	15.0¢	Lost
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5	Under	$102	7.0¢	Lost
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	$96	5.8¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$100	1.5¢	Lost
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$997	85.0¢	Won
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$395	76.2¢	Won
Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27?	No	$996	88.0¢	Won
Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5	Over	$19	60.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$148	70.0¢	Lost
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5	Over	$12	31.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 17?	Yes	$44	10.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?	No	$396	28.3¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$390	65.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?	No	$500	16.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$34	78.0¢	Lost
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5	Over	$49	29.0¢	Lost
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$236	57.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 17?	Yes	$46	4.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 17?	Yes	$41	4.1¢	Lost
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$190	39.7¢	Lost
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$49	49.0¢	Won

Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$30 @ 35.0¢
Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$40 @ 57.0¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$252 @ 63.0¢
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$48 @ 40.0¢
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-09-05?Lost
No$527 @ 85.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Lost
Over$18 @ 19.9¢
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$48 @ 30.0¢
Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$1.2k @ 64.3¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$203 @ 55.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$12 @ 31.0¢
Club Brugge vs. Cercle Brugge: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$50 @ 67.0¢
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-08-23?Lost
No$891 @ 83.0¢
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$50 @ 65.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$14 @ 35.0¢
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$34 @ 65.0¢
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Lost
Over$31 @ 57.0¢
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Lost
Over$890 @ 80.0¢
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$27 @ 53.0¢
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$34 @ 57.0¢
Çorum FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$25 @ 62.0¢
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1.5k @ 71.0¢
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$25 @ 59.0¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$1.1k @ 80.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$17 @ 48.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$14 @ 58.0¢
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$66 @ 58.0¢
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$19 @ 57.0¢
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$20 @ 65.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships PlayoffsLost
Team Falcons$300 @ 71.0¢
Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$8 @ 15.0¢
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$102 @ 7.0¢
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-11-01?Lost
Yes$96 @ 5.8¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Lost
No$100 @ 1.5¢
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$997 @ 85.0¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Won
No$395 @ 76.2¢
Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27?Won
No$996 @ 88.0¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Won
Over$19 @ 60.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$148 @ 70.0¢
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$12 @ 31.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 17?Lost
Yes$44 @ 10.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?Lost
No$396 @ 28.3¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$390 @ 65.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?Won
No$500 @ 16.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$34 @ 78.0¢
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$49 @ 29.0¢
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$236 @ 57.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 17?Lost
Yes$46 @ 4.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 17?Lost
Yes$41 @ 4.1¢
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$190 @ 39.7¢
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$49 @ 49.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$1.5k	71.0¢
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-05?	—	No	$1.3k	72.0¢
Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5	—	Over	$1.2k	64.3¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$1.1k	80.0¢
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-08-23?	—	No	$891	83.0¢
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5	—	Over	$890	80.0¢
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-09-05?	—	No	$527	85.0¢
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20?	—	No	$501	77.0¢
Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5	Sports	Over	$500	70.0¢
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5	—	Over	$499	78.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$403	68.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	—	Team Falcons	$300	71.0¢
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs. Rot-Weiss Essen: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$296	78.0¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$252	63.0¢
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)	—	Olympique de Marseille	$250	84.0¢
Stade de Reims vs. Montpellier HSC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$241	69.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$203	55.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$175	13.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$148	70.0¢
VfL Bochum vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 1st Half O/U 1.5	—	Over	$122	49.0¢
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5	Sports	Under	$102	7.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$98	80.0¢
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5	Sports	Over	$98	67.3¢
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-11-01?	Sports	Yes	$96	5.8¢
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5	—	Over	$66	58.0¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$60	20.0¢
Club Brugge vs. Cercle Brugge: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$50	67.0¢
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$50	65.0¢
Brøndby IF vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	—	Over	$50	50.0¢
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5	—	Over	$48	30.0¢

Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5—
Over$1.5k @ 71.0¢
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-05?—
No$1.3k @ 72.0¢
Málaga CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5—
Over$1.2k @ 64.3¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5—
Over$1.1k @ 80.0¢
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-08-23?—
No$891 @ 83.0¢
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5—
Over$890 @ 80.0¢
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-09-05?—
No$527 @ 85.0¢
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20?—
No$501 @ 77.0¢
Trabzonspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Sports
Over$500 @ 70.0¢
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5—
Over$499 @ 78.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5—
Over$403 @ 68.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs—
Team Falcons$300 @ 71.0¢
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs. Rot-Weiss Essen: O/U 1.5—
Over$296 @ 78.0¢
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5—
Over$252 @ 63.0¢
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)—
Olympique de Marseille$250 @ 84.0¢
Stade de Reims vs. Montpellier HSC: O/U 2.5—
Over$241 @ 69.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5—
Over$203 @ 55.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
No$175 @ 13.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5—
Over$148 @ 70.0¢
VfL Bochum vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 1st Half O/U 1.5—
Over$122 @ 49.0¢
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Sports
Under$102 @ 7.0¢
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5—
Over$98 @ 80.0¢
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 0.5Sports
Over$98 @ 67.3¢
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-11-01?Sports
Yes$96 @ 5.8¢
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5—
Over$66 @ 58.0¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5—
Over$60 @ 20.0¢
Club Brugge vs. Cercle Brugge: O/U 1.5—
Over$50 @ 67.0¢
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5—
Over$50 @ 65.0¢
Brøndby IF vs. Randers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5—
Over$50 @ 50.0¢
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 0.5—
Over$48 @ 30.0¢