← Smart money
0x497b…a32a
SharpEdge
+4.8pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
40% @ 35.2¢
Brier
0.141
Resolved
785
Avg size
$8
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 36% (62/170) | +32% | 170 |
| Science | 40% (29/72) | +5% | 72 |
| Sports | 50% (4/8) | -43% | 8 |
| Politics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other170 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (62/170)
- ROI
- +32%
- Science72 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (29/72)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- -43%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
37% hit · 95/255- Yes$12 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 11.8¢
- No$154 @ 96.3¢
- No$93 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 18.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 44.0¢
- No$16 @ 79.0¢
- No$19 @ 97.0¢
- No$113 @ 89.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$100 @ 15.0¢
- Kings vs. BucksLostBucks$57 @ 82.2¢
- Kings$47 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 51.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- No$5 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$13 @ 8.4¢
- No$11 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
- No$9 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 9.7¢
- No$6 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.7¢
- 76ers$50 @ 53.0¢
- No$5 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 31.5¢
- Mavericks$20 @ 28.0¢
- Pistons$28 @ 72.7¢
- Yes$31 @ 47.1¢
- Yes$14 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 73.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$42 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
- No$85 @ 65.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.0¢
- No$194 @ 80.8¢
- Yes$24 @ 26.3¢
- Yes$151 @ 45.2¢
- 76ers$100 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 17.9¢
- No$11 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$31 @ 29.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | Science | Yes | $407 | 94.2¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 1? | Science | No | $93 | 99.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 2? | Science | Yes | $10 | 21.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 2? | Science | Yes | $10 | 33.1¢ |
| Will Dario Amodei attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 10.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1? | Science | Yes | $1 | 26.0¢ |
- Yes$407 @ 94.2¢
- No$93 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 33.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 26.0¢