0x48a6…cb9d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x48a67937d33bfcbc471d7a029cb119e4cfb4cb9d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.0pp

ROI

+60%

Win rate

60% @ 44.5¢

Brier

0.214

Resolved

Avg size

$14

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (31/62)	+25%	62
Sports	83% (5/6)	+226%	6
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other62 bets
Hit rate
50% (31/62)
ROI
+25%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+226%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

52% hit · 36/69

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	$5	6.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	$3	19.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	$11	54.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	$6	12.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	$4	8.5¢	Lost
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?	Yes	$5	42.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	$7	88.4¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$39	73.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?	No	$21	58.6¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$21	56.0¢	Won
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$11	68.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$20	58.1¢	Won
DR Congo leading at halftime?	Yes	$20	83.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$16	78.0¢	Won
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$6	16.0¢	Lost
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$16	12.4¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	No	$4	9.0¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$21	43.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$71	59.5¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$20	83.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$10	78.0¢	Won
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$11	1.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 26?	No	$37	62.5¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	$50	74.3¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	$61	44.8¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$18	32.1¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	$20	68.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	$26	22.2¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	25.8¢	Won
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	63.0¢	Won
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$10	5.7¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$14	72.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	$28	37.3¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$19	37.0¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$10	7.3¢	Lost
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$7	18.0¢	Lost
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals	Yes	$11	17.6¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$4	19.7¢	Lost
Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)	Yes	$2	89.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	$21	71.0¢	Won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Yes	$11	40.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$10	29.2¢	Won
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	$5	50.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?	No	$20	41.1¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-03-27?	Yes	$10	83.0¢	Won

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 6.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETLost
Down$3 @ 19.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 10.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETLost
Down$11 @ 54.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETLost
Down$6 @ 12.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETLost
Up$4 @ 8.5¢
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETLost
Up$7 @ 88.4¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
No$39 @ 73.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?Lost
No$21 @ 58.6¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$21 @ 56.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
Yes$11 @ 68.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$20 @ 58.1¢
DR Congo leading at halftime?Won
Yes$20 @ 83.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?Won
Yes$16 @ 78.0¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$6 @ 16.0¢
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)Lost
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Lost
Yes$16 @ 12.4¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Lost
No$4 @ 9.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$21 @ 43.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$71 @ 59.5¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$20 @ 83.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-30?Won
Yes$10 @ 78.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$11 @ 1.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 26?Won
No$37 @ 62.5¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Won
No$50 @ 74.3¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Lost
No$61 @ 44.8¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Won
Yes$18 @ 32.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?Lost
Yes$20 @ 68.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Won
Yes$26 @ 22.2¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$103 @ 25.8¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.7¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?Lost
Yes$14 @ 72.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?Won
Yes$28 @ 37.3¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?Won
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$19 @ 37.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.3¢
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$7 @ 18.0¢
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsWon
Yes$11 @ 17.6¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$4 @ 19.7¢
Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)Won
Yes$2 @ 89.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
No$21 @ 71.0¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$11 @ 40.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Won
Yes$10 @ 29.2¢
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerWon
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 41.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-03-27?Won
Yes$10 @ 83.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	—	No	$61	44.8¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	—	Yes	$26	40.3¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?	—	Yes	$22	54.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	—	Yes	$20	68.0¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$20	60.0¢
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)	—	Yes	$19	32.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?	—	Yes	$16	12.8¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?	—	Yes	$14	72.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?	—	Yes	$12	37.5¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	—	Yes	$11	40.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	—	Down	$11	54.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	—	Yes	$10	12.3¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	—	Yes	$10	0.3¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	—	Yes	$7	46.0¢
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	—	Yes	$7	18.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	—	Up	$7	88.4¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	—	Yes	$6	16.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	—	Down	$6	12.3¢
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?	Sports	Yes	$5	42.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists	—	Yes	$5	30.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	—	Down	$5	6.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	—	Up	$4	8.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	—	No	$4	9.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists	—	Yes	$3	25.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	—	Down	$3	19.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	—	Up	$2	10.0¢
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)	—	Yes	$2	42.0¢

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?—
No$61 @ 44.8¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?—
Yes$26 @ 40.3¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?—
Yes$22 @ 54.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?—
Yes$20 @ 68.0¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$20 @ 60.0¢
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)—
Yes$19 @ 32.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?—
Yes$16 @ 12.8¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?—
Yes$14 @ 72.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?—
Yes$12 @ 37.5¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals—
Yes$11 @ 40.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET—
Down$11 @ 54.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?—
Yes$10 @ 12.3¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?—
Yes$10 @ 0.3¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?—
Yes$7 @ 46.0¢
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?—
Yes$7 @ 18.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET—
Up$7 @ 88.4¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?—
Yes$6 @ 16.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET—
Down$6 @ 12.3¢
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?Sports
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists—
Yes$5 @ 30.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET—
Down$5 @ 6.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET—
Up$4 @ 8.5¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?—
No$4 @ 9.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists—
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET—
Down$3 @ 19.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET—
Up$2 @ 10.0¢
Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)—
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢