← Smart money
0x4878…dfac
SharpEdge
+4.8pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
46% @ 41.3¢
Brier
0.186
Resolved
629
Avg size
$16
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 46% (80/174) | +15% | 174 |
| Politics | 41% (12/29) | +12% | 29 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other174 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (80/174)
- ROI
- +15%
- Politics29 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (12/29)
- ROI
- +12%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
45% hit · 92/204- Yes$19 @ 64.0¢
- No$67 @ 67.0¢
- No$20 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 31.0¢
- No$12 @ 49.0¢
- No$15 @ 75.0¢
- No$38 @ 53.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 25.7¢
- No$10 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$30 @ 58.4¢
- Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
- No$15 @ 40.2¢
- Yes$13 @ 65.0¢
- No$81 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 26.7¢
- Yes$80 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 60.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- No$115 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$74 @ 23.8¢
- Yes$23 @ 11.5¢
- No$220 @ 73.4¢
- Yes$21 @ 18.2¢
- No$25 @ 50.0¢
- No$10 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
- No$14 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$19 @ 38.9¢
- No$18 @ 70.2¢
- No$211 @ 55.3¢
- Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
- No$104 @ 57.1¢
- Yes$31 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$22 @ 22.2¢
- No$56 @ 75.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$124 @ 41.3¢
- Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
- No$91 @ 75.1¢
- No$90 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 9.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $36 | 36.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $7 | 23.0¢ |
- Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 23.0¢