0x4868…a1c1

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other161 bets

  Hit rate

  62% (100/161)

  ROI

  +8%

• Politics31 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (18/31)

  ROI

  +1%

• Science29 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (17/29)

  ROI

  +4%

• Economy2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -2%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +100%

• Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17?Won
  No$51 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?Lost
  No$25 @ 56.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?Lost
  No$26 @ 40.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 21?Lost
  No$42 @ 84.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?Lost
  No$62 @ 60.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?Lost
  No$25 @ 41.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?Won
  No$19 @ 37.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?Won
  No$32 @ 74.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?Lost
  No$4 @ 18.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20?Won
  No$22 @ 73.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?Won
  No$10 @ 51.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?Won
  No$61 @ 75.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?Won
  No$25 @ 65.0¢
• Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?Lost
  No$13 @ 31.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?Lost
  No$2 @ 41.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20?Lost
  No$5 @ 59.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?Lost
  No$13 @ 49.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?Lost
  No$20 @ 83.0¢
• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  No$2 @ 10.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19?Lost
  No$11 @ 63.0¢
• Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Lost
  No$14 @ 12.9¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Lost
  No$296 @ 82.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?Won
  No$15 @ 74.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20?Won
  No$17 @ 86.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17?Won
  No$27 @ 42.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 16?Won
  No$53 @ 61.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 15?Won
  No$17 @ 79.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?Won
  No$6 @ 60.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?Won
  No$8 @ 82.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21?Won
  No$11 @ 39.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 21?Won
  No$17 @ 80.0¢
• Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?Lost
  No$510 @ 61.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 22?Won
  No$33 @ 76.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?Lost
  No$35 @ 57.7¢
• Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Won
  No$182 @ 87.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?Lost
  No$73 @ 57.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?Lost
  No$17 @ 71.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 20?Won
  No$27 @ 67.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?Won
  No$3 @ 11.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?Won
  No$15 @ 72.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 21?Won
  No$28 @ 61.7¢
• Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Won
  No$141 @ 89.9¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Won
  No$30 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?Won
  No$15 @ 70.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18?Won
  No$26 @ 63.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 22?Won
  No$16 @ 80.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20?Won
  No$4 @ 64.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22?Lost
  No$11 @ 34.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 17?Lost
  No$34 @ 53.3¢

Current positions

• Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 3.0¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$429 @ 3.0¢
• Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$334 @ 3.0¢
• Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Politics
  Yes$144 @ 20.0¢
• Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
  Yes$72 @ 68.0¢
• Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$58 @ 3.1¢
• Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$53 @ 3.4¢
• Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$53 @ 3.4¢
• Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$53 @ 3.4¢
• Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$53 @ 3.4¢
• Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$53 @ 3.4¢
• Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$46 @ 14.3¢
• Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 3.1¢
• Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 3.1¢
• Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 3.1¢
• Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 3.1¢
• Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 3.1¢
• Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 3.1¢
• Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 3.1¢
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 3.1¢