0x4829…97eb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x482943e8126e83a63695cebde33a9498ee7497eb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.1pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

60% @ 53.5¢

Brier

0.182

Resolved

1316

Avg size

$56

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (280/722)	-15%	722
Science	63% (181/288)	+6%	288
Sports	83% (5/6)	+51%	6
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-26%	2

Other722 bets
Hit rate
39% (280/722)
ROI
-15%
Science288 bets
Hit rate
63% (181/288)
ROI
+6%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+51%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-26%

Track record

46% hit · 467/1018

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 8?	No	$100	62.0¢	Won
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	$44	53.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	$25	29.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	$4	41.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17?	Yes	$40	28.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	$20	65.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 14?	Yes	$95	59.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	$2	31.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?	No	$111	49.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	$100	87.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	$35	43.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	Yes	$100	34.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?	No	$200	97.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	$10	37.7¢	Lost
IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 4.5	Over	$35	79.0¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Over	$100	56.4¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	$13	59.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	$5	18.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 17?	Yes	$100	45.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?	Yes	$61	15.7¢	Lost
England leading at halftime?	Yes	$100	53.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?	Yes	$50	29.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	$5	38.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	$5	46.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 29?	Yes	$201	16.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	$20	50.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 10?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5	Over	$100	59.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	$15	40.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	$10	82.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	$29	44.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 25?	Yes	$25	34.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	$25	32.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	$15	89.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	$5	36.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31?	No	$264	67.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4?	Yes	$170	50.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 15?	Yes	$100	34.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	$400	84.8¢	Lost
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5	Over	$100	64.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?	Yes	$300	86.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	$15	34.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	$25	29.5¢	Lost
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners	Over	$100	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 6?	Yes	$10	15.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	$15	95.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?	No	$409	67.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	$100	70.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	$21	12.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	$15	53.9¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 8?Won
No$100 @ 62.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETLost
Up$44 @ 53.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETLost
Up$25 @ 29.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETLost
Down$4 @ 41.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17?Lost
Yes$40 @ 28.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETLost
Down$20 @ 65.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$95 @ 59.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETLost
Up$2 @ 31.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?Lost
No$111 @ 49.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?Lost
Yes$100 @ 87.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETLost
Down$35 @ 43.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?Lost
Yes$100 @ 34.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?Lost
No$200 @ 97.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETLost
Up$10 @ 37.7¢
IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$35 @ 79.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$100 @ 56.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETLost
Down$13 @ 59.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETLost
Up$5 @ 18.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$100 @ 45.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$61 @ 15.7¢
England leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$100 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$50 @ 29.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 38.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETLost
Up$5 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 29?Lost
Yes$201 @ 16.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?Lost
Yes$20 @ 50.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$100 @ 59.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETLost
Up$15 @ 40.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETLost
Down$10 @ 82.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETLost
Up$29 @ 44.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 25?Lost
Yes$25 @ 34.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETLost
Down$25 @ 32.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETLost
Up$15 @ 89.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31?Lost
No$264 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4?Lost
Yes$170 @ 50.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 15?Lost
Yes$100 @ 34.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28?Lost
Yes$400 @ 84.8¢
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$100 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$300 @ 86.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETLost
Up$15 @ 34.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 22?Lost
Yes$25 @ 29.5¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 5.5 CornersLost
Over$100 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 6?Lost
Yes$10 @ 15.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETLost
Down$15 @ 95.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?Lost
No$409 @ 67.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 8?Lost
Yes$100 @ 70.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 5?Lost
Yes$21 @ 12.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETLost
Down$15 @ 53.9¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?	Science	No	$409	67.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28?	—	Yes	$400	84.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5?	—	Yes	$400	80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Science	No	$382	51.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8?	—	No	$377	87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?	—	No	$355	31.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12?	—	No	$341	23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 29?	—	Yes	$300	97.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?	Science	Yes	$300	86.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?	—	Yes	$300	74.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11?	Science	Yes	$300	45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?	—	No	$295	62.2¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?	—	Yes	$290	87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31?	—	No	$264	67.0¢
FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$261	59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 12?	—	No	$252	51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 20?	—	Yes	$249	91.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 11?	—	Yes	$240	75.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?	—	No	$230	76.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 10?	—	Yes	$210	78.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 31?	Science	No	$203	51.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 29?	—	Yes	$201	16.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 10?	—	No	$200	58.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 12?	—	Yes	$200	83.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?	—	No	$200	68.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?	Science	No	$200	97.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?	Science	No	$200	78.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3?	—	No	$200	50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 23?	—	No	$189	23.1¢
CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$187	38.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?Science
No$409 @ 67.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28?—
Yes$400 @ 84.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5?—
Yes$400 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?Science
No$382 @ 51.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8?—
No$377 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?—
No$355 @ 31.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 12?—
No$341 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 29?—
Yes$300 @ 97.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?Science
Yes$300 @ 86.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?—
Yes$300 @ 74.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11?Science
Yes$300 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 6?—
No$295 @ 62.2¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?—
Yes$290 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31?—
No$264 @ 67.0¢
FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca: O/U 1.5—
Over$261 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 12?—
No$252 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 20?—
Yes$249 @ 91.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 11?—
Yes$240 @ 75.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?—
No$230 @ 76.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 10?—
Yes$210 @ 78.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on October 31?Science
No$203 @ 51.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 29?—
Yes$201 @ 16.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 10?—
No$200 @ 58.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 12?—
Yes$200 @ 83.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 11?—
No$200 @ 68.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?Science
No$200 @ 97.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?Science
No$200 @ 78.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3?—
No$200 @ 50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 23?—
No$189 @ 23.1¢
CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5—
Over$187 @ 38.0¢