0x47ff…3cc4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x47ff8334e7bd10262da2c96b3bbb3ad975453cc4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.9pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

31% @ 28.4¢

Brier

0.162

Resolved

1390

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	29% (85/289)	+8%	289
Sports	7% (2/28)	-41%	28
Crypto	20% (3/15)	+73%	15
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other289 bets
Hit rate
29% (85/289)
ROI
+8%
Sports28 bets
Hit rate
7% (2/28)
ROI
-41%
Crypto15 bets
Hit rate
20% (3/15)
ROI
+73%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

27% hit · 90/334

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$12	16.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?	Down	$5	9.0¢	Lost
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	$4	38.0¢	Lost
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	$3	7.6¢	Lost
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	$2	53.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	$26	61.6¢	Lost
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	$22	42.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	$17	12.0¢	Lost
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	$29	20.9¢	Lost
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$10	48.0¢	Won
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?	Yes	$3	87.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	No	$50	48.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	Yes	$41	20.7¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$181	51.3¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$2	3.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 18?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Morehead State Eagles (W)	Morehead State Eagles	$30	54.7¢	Won
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Morehead State Eagles (W)	Western Illinois Leathernecks	$24	66.1¢	Lost
Heat vs. Trail Blazers	Heat	$3	41.0¢	Lost
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$53	62.0¢	Won
Will SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?	Yes	$19	30.9¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	Yes	$2	8.6¢	Lost
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$22	49.6¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	0.9¢	Lost
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	Hawks	$12	53.0¢	Lost
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$1	25.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	No	$122	19.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	$7	17.9¢	Won
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$4	24.7¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$7	48.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$54	48.5¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$51	52.9¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$249	17.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	Yes	$3	2.4¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?	Yes	$37	18.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?	No	$3	3.4¢	Lost
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$3	1.3¢	Lost
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?	Yes	$20	56.4¢	Won
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?	Yes	$4	1.1¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$5	3.0¢	Lost
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?	Yes	$7	42.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?	No	$8	22.1¢	Lost

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Lost
Yes$12 @ 16.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?Lost
Down$5 @ 9.0¢
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06?Lost
Yes$4 @ 38.0¢
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-07?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.6¢
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?Lost
Yes$2 @ 53.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?Lost
Yes$26 @ 61.6¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?Lost
Yes$22 @ 42.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?Lost
Yes$17 @ 12.0¢
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-01?Lost
Yes$29 @ 20.9¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?Won
Yes$10 @ 48.0¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$3 @ 87.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 48.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Won
Yes$41 @ 20.7¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?Lost
Yes$181 @ 51.3¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Morehead State Eagles (W)Won
Morehead State Eagles$30 @ 54.7¢
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Morehead State Eagles (W)Lost
Western Illinois Leathernecks$24 @ 66.1¢
Heat vs. Trail BlazersLost
Heat$3 @ 41.0¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?Won
Yes$53 @ 62.0¢
Will SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?Lost
Yes$19 @ 30.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.6¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?Lost
Yes$22 @ 49.6¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
Hawks vs. Trail BlazersLost
Hawks$12 @ 53.0¢
Hawks vs. Trail BlazersWon
Trail Blazers$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Lost
No$122 @ 19.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 17.9¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?Lost
Yes$4 @ 24.7¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-24?Won
Yes$7 @ 48.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?Won
Yes$54 @ 48.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?Won
Yes$51 @ 52.9¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?Won
Yes$249 @ 17.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.4¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?Lost
Yes$37 @ 18.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6?Lost
No$3 @ 3.4¢
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
No$3 @ 1.3¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?Won
Yes$20 @ 56.4¢
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.1¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?Lost
Yes$7 @ 42.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?Lost
No$8 @ 22.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	—	No	$111	23.8¢
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?	—	Yes	$102	82.0¢
Red Wings vs. Wild	—	Red Wings	$83	63.9¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?	—	Yes	$81	29.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	—	No	$50	48.8¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	—	Yes	$41	36.9¢
Will FC København win on 2026-11-08?	Sports	Yes	$31	61.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?	—	Yes	$30	15.3¢
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-01?	—	Yes	$29	20.9¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Sports	Yes	$26	61.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	—	Yes	$26	0.1¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?	Sports	Yes	$22	42.0¢
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	—	LGD Gaming	$21	55.4¢
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?	—	Yes	$20	47.1¢
Will SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?	—	Yes	$19	30.9¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?	Sports	Yes	$17	12.0¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?	—	Yes	$15	49.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?	—	Yes	$15	11.4¢
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes	—	San Diego State Aztecs	$14	2.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?	—	Yes	$13	0.1¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-22?	—	Yes	$13	32.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	—	Yes	$13	35.4¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	—	Yes	$12	16.3¢
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	—	Hawks	$12	53.0¢
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-22?	—	Yes	$12	7.3¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-19?	—	Yes	$11	34.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 20?	—	Yes	$10	2.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 20?	—	Yes	$10	0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 16?	—	No	$10	0.6¢

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?—
No$111 @ 23.8¢
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?—
Yes$102 @ 82.0¢
Red Wings vs. Wild—
Red Wings$83 @ 63.9¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?—
Yes$81 @ 29.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?—
No$50 @ 48.8¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?—
Yes$41 @ 36.9¢
Will FC København win on 2026-11-08?Sports
Yes$31 @ 61.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?—
Yes$30 @ 15.3¢
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-01?—
Yes$29 @ 20.9¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?Sports
Yes$26 @ 61.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?—
Yes$26 @ 0.1¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?Sports
Yes$22 @ 42.0¢
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana—
LGD Gaming$21 @ 55.4¢
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?—
Yes$20 @ 47.1¢
Will SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?—
Yes$19 @ 30.9¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?Sports
Yes$17 @ 12.0¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?—
Yes$15 @ 49.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?—
Yes$15 @ 11.4¢
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes—
San Diego State Aztecs$14 @ 2.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?—
Yes$13 @ 0.1¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-22?—
Yes$13 @ 32.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-15?—
Yes$13 @ 35.4¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?—
Yes$12 @ 16.3¢
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers—
Hawks$12 @ 53.0¢
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-22?—
Yes$12 @ 7.3¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-19?—
Yes$11 @ 34.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 20?—
Yes$10 @ 2.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 20?—
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 16?—
No$10 @ 0.6¢