0x478e…0c83

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x478e6032636bb01439dc8390381a49a7955e0c83
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+13.6pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

63% @ 49.1¢

Brier

0.236

Resolved

794

Avg size

$120

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (89/187)	+32%	187
Sports	56% (10/18)	+12%	18
Politics	24% (4/17)	-11%	17
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+117%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+54%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other187 bets
Hit rate
48% (89/187)
ROI
+32%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
ROI
+12%
Politics17 bets
Hit rate
24% (4/17)
ROI
-11%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+117%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+54%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

46% hit · 105/226

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Hornets vs. Pistons	Pistons	$1.3k	72.0¢	Won
PFC Nasaf vs. Kuwait SC: O/U 2.5	Under	$470	47.0¢	Won
Persib Bandung vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$190	95.0¢	Won
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Warriors	$7.1k	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Jazz (-1.5)	Grizzlies	$121	51.0¢	Won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	$152	55.0¢	Won
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Hawks	$6.7k	49.0¢	Lost
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)	Thunder	$103	44.0¢	Lost
Clippers vs. Warriors	Clippers	$52	52.0¢	Won
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$18	44.0¢	Lost
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Under	$7.7k	52.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5	Under	$10	50.0¢	Won
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Karmine Corp Blue	$144	37.0¢	Lost
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)	Bulls	$1.0k	51.0¢	Won
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)	Lakers	$960	48.0¢	Won
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)	Pistons	$1.0k	51.0¢	Won
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5	Over	$10	52.0¢	Lost
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)	Cavaliers	$1.5k	51.0¢	Lost
Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 236.5	Over	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets	Trail Blazers	$12	30.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Spurs	$20	40.0¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5	Over	$10	49.0¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 237.5	Over	$10	49.0¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers	Nuggets	$10	48.0¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5	Under	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)	Mavericks	$1.0k	51.0¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$32	16.0¢	Lost
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)	Grizzlies	$1.0k	51.0¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	$34	17.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	$160	32.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Knicks	Knicks	$118	59.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5	Over	$10	52.0¢	Won
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.3k	44.0¢	Lost
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$3.8k	43.0¢	Won
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)	Michigan Wolverines	$266	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)	Timberwolves	$1.0k	51.0¢	Won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	Nuggets	$10	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)	Bulls	$2.0k	51.2¢	Won
Pacers vs. Lakers	Pacers	$7	22.0¢	Lost
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)	Jazz	$10	49.0¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	$656	45.0¢	Lost
Map Handicap: RIG (-1.5) vs AGELITE (+1.5)	AGELITE	$150	50.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Rockets	Pelicans	$59	59.0¢	Lost
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 208.5	Over	$10	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)	Suns	$10	50.0¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5	Under	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Bucks	$9	43.0¢	Won

Hornets vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$1.3k @ 72.0¢
PFC Nasaf vs. Kuwait SC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$470 @ 47.0¢
Persib Bandung vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$190 @ 95.0¢
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Won
Warriors$7.1k @ 50.0¢
Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Won
Grizzlies$121 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Won
Thunder$152 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lost
Hawks$6.7k @ 49.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Lost
Thunder$103 @ 44.0¢
Clippers vs. WarriorsWon
Clippers$52 @ 52.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$18 @ 44.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Won
Under$7.7k @ 52.0¢
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5Won
Under$10 @ 50.0¢
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsLost
Karmine Corp Blue$144 @ 37.0¢
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Won
Bulls$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Won
Lakers$960 @ 48.0¢
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Won
Pistons$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 206.5Lost
Over$10 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Lost
Cavaliers$1.5k @ 51.0¢
Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 236.5Lost
Over$10 @ 51.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. RocketsLost
Trail Blazers$12 @ 30.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Lost
Spurs$20 @ 40.0¢
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Won
Over$10 @ 49.0¢
Grizzlies vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Won
Over$10 @ 49.0¢
Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersWon
Nuggets$10 @ 48.0¢
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Lost
Under$10 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Lost
Mavericks$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$32 @ 16.0¢
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Won
Grizzlies$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Won
No$34 @ 17.0¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageLost
Xtreme Gaming$160 @ 32.0¢
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5Lost
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Pelicans vs. KnicksWon
Knicks$118 @ 59.0¢
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Won
Over$10 @ 52.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1.3k @ 44.0¢
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$3.8k @ 43.0¢
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)Won
Michigan Wolverines$266 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Won
Timberwolves$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Won
Nuggets$10 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Won
Bulls$2.0k @ 51.2¢
Pacers vs. LakersLost
Pacers$7 @ 22.0¢
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Lost
Jazz$10 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Lost
Knicks$656 @ 45.0¢
Map Handicap: RIG (-1.5) vs AGELITE (+1.5)Won
AGELITE$150 @ 50.0¢
Pelicans vs. RocketsLost
Pelicans$59 @ 59.0¢
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 208.5Won
Over$10 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Won
Suns$10 @ 50.0¢
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Lost
Under$10 @ 51.0¢
Cavaliers vs. BucksWon
Bucks$9 @ 43.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5	Sports	Under	$7.8k	53.0¢
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Sports	Heat	$7.4k	51.0¢
Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5	Sports	Under	$7.1k	50.0¢
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5	Sports	Under	$6.3k	47.0¢
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Sports	Heat	$6.1k	46.0¢
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)	Sports	Clippers	$565	55.0¢
Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5	Sports	Under	$277	47.0¢
Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Sports	Cavaliers	$68	68.0¢
Heat vs. Hawks	Sports	Hawks	$16	27.0¢

Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Sports
Under$7.8k @ 53.0¢
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Sports
Heat$7.4k @ 51.0¢
Rockets vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Sports
Under$7.1k @ 50.0¢
Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Sports
Under$6.3k @ 47.0¢
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Sports
Heat$6.1k @ 46.0¢
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Sports
Clippers$565 @ 55.0¢
Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Sports
Under$277 @ 47.0¢
Wizards vs. CavaliersSports
Cavaliers$68 @ 68.0¢
Heat vs. HawksSports
Hawks$16 @ 27.0¢